Match Info

Date: 12 August 2022, Friday

Location: Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador)

Referee: da Silva Machado B. (Bra)


	Bahia		Ituano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.2	4.6
	1.76	3.15	4.7
	1.79	3.25	4.5
	1.81	3.51	5.09
	1.83	3.2	4.6
	1.8	3.3	4.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.7)	3.27 ↓ (3.3)	4.71 ↓ (5.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia
51.8%

Draw
28.4%

Ituano
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

28.4%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

28.6%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.2%	26.1%	21.7%

Bahia - Ituano Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Ituano will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 31.8% – 72.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 9).

Recent matches Bahia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ituano is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Bahia is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Bahia: Marco Antonio (Injury)

There will not play in Ituano: Pacheco (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bahia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie B
09.08.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Bahia	2:0 ✺
06.08.22	Bahia - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
29.07.22	Bahia - Náutico Capibaribe	3:0 ✺
23.07.22	Cruzeiro - Bahia	1:0 ✺
19.07.22	Bahia - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLT
- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
09.08.22	Ituano - Sport Recife	4:1 ✺
05.08.22	Vila Nova - Ituano	1:1 ✺
30.07.22	CS Alagoano - Ituano	1:3 ✺
23.07.22	Ituano - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
19.07.22	Vasco da Gama - Ituano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
29.04.22	Ituano - Bahia	1:0

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