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Current Win Probability
Vila Nova 56.3%
Draw 25.9%
Londrina 17.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.9%
24.9%
18.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.3%
24.3%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Vila Nova - Londrina Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.75 - Vila Nova (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/E Goals, 1st Half - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Vila Nova will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Helton Leite (G) 22. Hayner 4. Douglas Mendes 23. Jonathan Costa 6. Higor 5. Joao Vieira 15. Dudu 17. Everton Galdino 10. Marquinhos Gabriel (C) 99. Janderson 7. Andre Luis
15. Gabriel Lacerda 27. Guilherme Cachoeira 32. Joao Tavares 18. Juninho 33. Kevyn 8. Lucas Marques 30. Mauricio Kozlinski (G) 2. Nino Paraiba 11. Pablo Dyego 96. Thalis 7. Vitinho Mota
Coaches
Guto Ferreira
Rogerio Micale
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Kaue Leonardo 🟨,
33', Caio Rodrigues 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Everton Galdino ⚽, Marquinhos Gabriel (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Jonathan Costa ⚽, Joao Vieira (A),
54', Joao Coni ↓, Lucas Marques ↑,
54', Kaue Leonardo ↓, Nino Paraiba ↑,
54', Tarik ↓, Guilherme Cachoeira ↑,
60', Guilherme Dantas ↓, Juninho ↑,
61', Hayner ↓, Nathan Camargo ↑,
66', Nino Paraiba ↓, Joao Tavares ↑,
68', Joao Vitor 🟨,
72', Andre Luis ↓, Lincoln ↑,
72', Everton Galdino ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
83', Janderson ↓, Emerson Urso ↑,
83', Dudu ↓, Willian Maranhao ↑,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 18th in the Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 2.
Vila Nova is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Londrina have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Londrina has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Vila Nova for this game.
Confirmed absences for Vila Nova: Breno Augusto
(Inactive)
Dellatorre
(Injury)
Rafa Silva
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Londrina: Geovane Meurer
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Vila Nova: Anderson Jesus
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Londrina: Paulinho Moccelin
(Muscle Injury).
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Vila Nova has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:17 (averaging 1.1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vila Nova against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 12:8 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).