Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - Second stage - Round 5

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Café (Londrina)

Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Londrina		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	2.87	2.85
	2.39	2.85	3	Watch
	2.46	2.95	3.22
	2.43	2.94	3.19	Watch
	2.25	3	2.88
	2.41	3.1	3.06	Watch
	2.39	2.85	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.23)	2.94 ↓ (2.95)	3.03 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
38.5%

Draw
31.2%

Ferroviária
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

31%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

29.8%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Londrina - Ferroviária Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Felix (G) 7. Calyson Rosa 9. Daniel Amorim 11. Iago Teles 8. Kady 6. Mauricio 10. Rafael Longuine (C) 3. Rayan 4. Rayan Ribeiro 5. Taua 2. Thiago Ennes	1. Saulo (C) 7. Cassio Gabriel 9. de Moura C. 3. Gustavo Medina 6. Igor Fernandes 10. Juninho 5. Ricardinho 4. Ronaldo Alves 11. Vitor Barreto 2. Weverton 8. Xavier
Substitutes
21. Echapora 22. Everton 16. Geferson 20. Gustavo Franca 18. Henrique 19. Ingro 13. Joao Maistro 17. Martha 15. Pedro Cacho 14. Riquelmy 24. Samuel Andrade 12. Ygor Vinhas (G)	22. Caua A. 19. Denilson Goulart 16. Edson Lucas 14. Jackson 12. Leo Wall (G) 21. Lucas Rodrigues 13. Maycon 17. Pablo 15. Paulinho Santos 18. Quirino 23. Thayllon 20. Ze Mateus
Coaches
Claudinei Oliveira	Junior Rocha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Juninho ↓, Thayllon ↑,
23', 1 - 0, Rafael Longuine ⚽,
35', Taua 🟨,
45+5', Gustavo Medina 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', Rayan Ribeiro 🟨,
62', Igor Fernandes ↓, Denilson Goulart ↑,
62', Vitor Barreto ↓, Edson Lucas ↑,
64', Kady ↓, Pedro Cacho ↑,
64', Calyson Rosa ↓, Henrique ↑,
68', 1 - 1, de Moura C. ⚽,
74', 2 - 1, Rafael Longuine ⚽,
76', Rafael Longuine ↓, Gustavo Franca ↑,
79', Iago Teles 🟨,
82', 2 - 2, Rayan (Own goal),
89', Denilson Goulart 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 2, Thiago Ennes ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Londrina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Londrina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie C
22.09.24	Ypiranga - Londrina	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Londrina - Ypiranga	2:2 ✺
07.09.24	Ferroviária - Londrina	3:2 ✺
02.09.24	Londrina - Athletic Club	2:3 ✺
24.08.24	Londrina - Náutico Capibaribe	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTLLW
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie C
23.09.24	Athletic Club - Ferroviária	3:0 ✺
16.09.24	Ferroviária - Athletic Club	3:2 ✺
07.09.24	Ferroviária - Londrina	3:2 ✺
31.08.24	Ypiranga - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Botafogo PB - Ferroviária	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
07.09.24	Ferroviária - Londrina	3:2
29.07.24	Ferroviária - Londrina	0:0

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