Match Info

Serie B - Round 14

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Vitorino Goncalves Dias (VGD) (Londrina)

Referee: Deretti C. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Londrina		Athletic Club

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.25	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.70
	2.38	2.98	3.1	Watch
	2.44	3.1	3.36
	2.55	3.01	2.94	Watch
	2.38	2.9	3.1
	2.38	2.98	3.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.38)	2.99 ↓ (3.15)	3.09 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
38.5%

Draw
31.2%

Athletic Club
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

29.6%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

29.5%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Londrina - Athletic Club Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Londrina will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Athletic will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mauricio Kozlinski (G) 75. Kaue Leonardo 3. Yago Lincoln 15. Gabriel Lacerda 34. Heron 5. Andre Luiz 8. Lucas Marques (C) 7. Vitinho Mota 32. Joao Tavares 11. Iago Teles 9. Bruno Santos	1. Luan Polli (G) 22. Diogo Batista 4. Belezi (C) 13. Felipe Vieira 14. Marcelo Henrique 16. Joao Miguel 11. Max 8. Cabezas G. 10. Gustavinho 17. Kauan Rodrigues 5. Ian Luccas
Substitutes
17. Andre Cardoso 55. Caio Rafael 44. Caio Rodrigues 77. Juninho 33. Kevyn 1. Luan Ribeiro (G) 27. Murilo Sousa 18. Paulinho Moccelin 6. Rafael Monteiro 96. Thalis 4. Wallace 2. Weverton	23. Alexandre Pena 7. Bruninho 2. Douglas Pele 20. Enzo Santos 9. Gabriel Moyses 12. Jhonatan Luiz (G) 19. Leo Chu 18. Pedro Oliveira 21. Vera D. 6. Zeca
Coaches
Rogerio Micale	Alex Souza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Iago Teles 🟨,
43', Belezi 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Gustavinho ↓, Bruninho ↑,
54', Belezi 🟨,
57', Joao Tavares ↓, Thalis ↑,
57', Max ↓, Zeca ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Bruno Santos ⚽, Vitinho Mota (A),
67', Vitinho Mota ↓, Paulinho Moccelin ↑,
67', Heron ↓, Kevyn ↑,
69', Marcelo Henrique ↓, Gabriel Moyses ↑,
69', Diogo Batista ↓, Enzo Santos ↑,
83', Lucas Marques ↓, Andre Cardoso ↑,
83', Iago Teles ↓, Rafael Monteiro ↑,
86', Felipe Vieira ↓, Vera D. ↑,
90+5', Cabezas G. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 0, Bruno Santos (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 11).

In recent matches, Londrina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Athletic is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Londrina: Gilberto (Leg Injury) Kevyn (Muscle Injury) Wallace (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Athletic: Gabriel Indio (Inactive) Jhonatan Silva (Yellow Cards) Jota (Red Card) Rodrigo Gelado (Inactive) Sidimar (Inactive) Tavares R. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Londrina: Weverton (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Londrina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Athletic Club	32	10	12	10	38:37	1	42
18	Londrina	32	7	7	18	40:47	-7	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
15.06.26	Londrina - Avaí	3:2 ✺
06.06.26	Criciúma - Londrina	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Londrina - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Fortaleza - Londrina	3:0 ✺
18.05.26	Ponte Preta - Londrina	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLLW
- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie B
14.06.26	Athletic Club - Goiás	1:1 ✺
10.06.26	Sport Recife - Athletic Club	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Athletic Club - Fortaleza	1:0 ✺
25.05.26	Botafogo SP - Athletic Club	1:2 ✺
17.05.26	Athletic Club - Juventude	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
05.10.24	Athletic Club - Londrina	2:1
02.09.24	Londrina - Athletic Club	2:3
13.07.24	Athletic Club - Londrina	2:1

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