Match Info

Date: 5 September 2020, Saturday


	Londrina		São Bento

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.6
	1.9	3.5	3.6
	1.83	3.65	3.45
	1.91	3.33	4.37
	1.8	3.4	4
	1.88	3.6	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.72)	3.48 ↓ (3.8)	3.78 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
49.3%

Draw
26.4%

São Bento
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

24.4%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

16.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

São Bento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Londrina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bento than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Bento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Londrina - São Bento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 5 and 10 in the zone Relegation to Serie D).

Recent matches Londrina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

São Bento is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Londrina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Londrina is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Londrina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Londrina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie C
30.08.20	Londrina - Boa Esporte	2:0 ✺
23.08.20	Ituano - Londrina	1:1 ✺
16.08.20	Ypiranga - Londrina	2:1 ✺
10.08.20	Londrina - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
23.07.20	Athletico Paranaense - Londrina	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTLTL
- EC São Bento
Brazilian Serie C
02.09.20	São Bento - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
30.08.20	São Bento - Atlético Monte Azul	1:0 ✺
27.08.20	Grêmio Osasco Audax - São Bento	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
24.08.20	Criciúma - São Bento	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
19.08.20	São Bento - Lemense FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
21.11.19	São Bento - Londrina	4:1
24.08.19	Londrina - São Bento	2:4
13.10.18	Londrina - São Bento	2:1
23.06.18	São Bento - Londrina	0:1

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