Match Info

Division 1 - Round 28

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Markets Field (Limerick) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	14:45	SportsEngine Play
International	18:45	LOI TV


	Treaty United		Cork City

	1	X	2
	5.50	4.00	1.46
	5.7	3.95	1.49
	7.65	4.13	1.51
	6.81	3.71	1.49	Watch
	7.55	3.75	1.49
	6.93	3.7	1.46
	5.6	3.95	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.53 ↓ (6.64)	3.88 ↑ (3.54)	1.48 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treaty United
14.1%

Draw
23.7%

Cork City
62.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.8%

25.9%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

25.2%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treaty United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Cork City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treaty United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cork City than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Treaty United - Cork City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brady J. (G) 44. Cantwell K. 3. Lynch B. 27. Lynch R. 20. Nwankwo D. 6. Healy S. 8. Conroy C. 15. Feeney B. 31. Manning R. 18. Oyenuga J. 19. Cunningham B.	1. Brann C. (G) 2. Nevin H. 17. Crowley D. 4. Kelleher F. (C) 28. Feely R. 14. O'Keeffe N. 15. Drinan C. 39. Murphy C. 10. Mpongo H. 9. Keating R. 20. Fitzpatrick J.
Substitutes
21. Fitzpatrick K. (G) 29. Foley K. 28. Jones M. 37. Kareem D. 30. Murphy M. 5. Regan B. 25. Walsh M. 36. Whelan C. 16. Yoro E.	8. Aidoo J. 37. Downey L. 5. Lyons C. 24. Maguire S. 31. Manjor-Georgewill I. 25. Murray M. 45. Obenge D. 13. Odumosu D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Conroy C. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Oyenuga J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Drinan C. ↓, Maguire S. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Maguire S. ⚽,
57', 🟨,
64', Manning R. ↓, Whelan C. ↑,
64', Oyenuga J. ↓, Murphy M. ↑,
76', Conroy C. ↓, Kareem D. ↑,
83', Feeney B. ↓, Yoro E. ↑,
84', Fitzpatrick J. ↓, Murray M. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Kareem D. ⚽,
88', 2 - 2, Crowley D. ⚽,
90+5', Kareem D. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Treaty United won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Cork City is the clear favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Treaty United won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:31. (average 0.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Treaty United won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:14. (average 0.4:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treaty United
Irish Division 1
07.08.26	Cobh Ramblers - Treaty United	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	University College Dublin - Treaty United	1:2 ✺
31.07.26	Treaty United - Longford Town	0:1 ✺
24.07.26	Treaty United - Athlone Town	2:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
17.07.26	Treaty United - University College Dublin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWLWL
- Cork City
Irish Division 1
07.08.26	Cork City - Kerry	3:1 ✺
03.08.26	Cork City - Athlone Town	3:2 ✺
31.07.26	Finn Harps - Cork City	0:3 ✺
24.07.26	University College Dublin - Cork City	5:2 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
17.07.26	Shamrock Rovers - Cork City	4:1 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
19.06.26	Cork City - Treaty United	4:0
25.05.26	Treaty United - Cork City	0:1
13.02.26	Cork City - Treaty United	1:0
Club Friendly
18.01.25	Cork City - Treaty United	2:1
Irish Division 1
04.10.24	Cork City - Treaty United	1:1
02.08.24	Treaty United - Cork City	1:1
24.05.24	Cork City - Treaty United	1:1

Treaty United - Cork City