Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 7Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday
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Lorca Deportiva |
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Atlético Baleares |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.40 |
2.90 |
2.75 |
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2.43 |
2.85 |
2.80 |
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2.45 |
2.97 |
3.01 |
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2.42 |
3.03 |
2.91 |
 Watch |
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2.40 |
2.95 |
2.95 |
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2.45 |
3.22 |
2.86 |
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2.45 |
2.95 |
2.80 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(2.88) |
2.98 ↓
(3.1) |
2.87 ↑
(2.25) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lorca Deportiva
37.6% | Draw
30.6% | Atlético Baleares
31.8% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorca Deportiva's performance.Atlético Baleares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Baleares might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorca Deportiva that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Baleares could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Lorca Deportiva - Atlético Baleares Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Naranjo J. ⚽,
- 34', 2 - 0, Pedrosa J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 81', 2 - 1, Caballero R. ⚽,
- 90', (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+1', 2 - 2, Andone F. ⚽,
- 90+5', Ibanez W. 🟥,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 10th and 14th in the Relegation).Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.Lorca Deportiva could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match. The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders. These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
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| 13 | Baleares | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Baleares - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.87%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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