Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 26

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco (Lorca)


	Lorca Deportiva		Pulpileño

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.4	5.2
	1.69	3.18	5.24
	1.63	3.4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.63)	3.33 ↓ (3.41)	5.21 ↑ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorca Deportiva
55.2%

Draw
27.4%

Pulpileño
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

26.7%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

24.9%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Pulpileño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pulpileño than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lorca Deportiva won 3.

Lorca Deportiva in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pulpileño is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pulpileño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lorca Deportiva is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lorca Deportiva to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Lorca Deportiva won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18:8 (average 1.5:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Lorca Deportiva won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:4 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
09.03.25	Águilas B - Lorca Deportiva	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Lorca Deportiva - Santomera	4:1 ✺
15.02.25	UCAM Murcia B - Lorca Deportiva	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	Lorca Deportiva - Real Murcia B	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Cartagena B - Lorca Deportiva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWWWW
- CA Pulpileño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
23.02.25	Pulpileño - Real Murcia B	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Cartagena B - Pulpileño	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Pulpileño - Deportivo Marítimo	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Cieza - Pulpileño	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Pulpileño - Bullense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
05.01.25	Pulpileño - Lorca Deportiva	1:2
21.04.24	Lorca Deportiva - Pulpileño	1:0
03.12.23	Pulpileño - Lorca Deportiva	0:0
07.05.23	Lorca Deportiva - Pulpileño	2:1
30.04.23	Pulpileño - Lorca Deportiva	2:2
22.01.23	Pulpileño - Lorca Deportiva	0:5
24.09.22	Lorca Deportiva - Pulpileño	1:0

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