Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 31 October 2023, Tuesday


	Lorca Deportiva		Eibar

	1	X	2
	13	6	1.25	Watch
	11	6	1.2	Watch
	15	6	1.18	Watch
	11.66	5.88	1.22
	17	6.5	1.18	Watch
	12.75	6.1	1.22	Watch
	11	5.8	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.06 ↑ (9.78)	6.04 ↑ (4.73)	1.21 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorca Deportiva
7.2%

Draw
15.5%

Eibar
77.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.6%

19.8%

70.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.3%

19.1%

73%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eibar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Lorca Deportiva - Eibar Predictions

Users Predictions: Eibar will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arco C. (G) 2. Fresneda A. 4. Martinez J. 15. Navarro F. 14. Fernandez H. 10. Rodriguez A. (C) 7. Minarro A. 6. Adamou H. 20. Hamza E. H. 17. Bernejo D. 9. Solsona J.	13. Yoel (C) 4. Correa R. 22. Simic S. 3. Venancio F. 2. Gutierrez C. 11. Rahmani Y. 14. Vencedor U. 12. Yriarte J. 17. Corpas J. 9. Qasmi Y. 7. Quique
Substitutes
3. Baro Moreno 16. Bertomeu F. 11. Cases S. 19. Cristo 18. Ecija A. 8. Feriani M. 22. Martin K. 21. Mendizabal I. 5. Peli 13. Scaccia L.	10. Aketxe A. 28. Alday I. 33. Arrillaga H. 27. de la Fuente K. 18. Jon B. 29. Madariaga A. 32. Muguruza A. 31. Troncho A. 1. Zidane L. (G)

Preview

Recent matches Lorca Deportiva is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eibar in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lorca Deportiva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Eibar is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
28.10.23	Lorca Deportiva - Ciudad de Murcia	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Unión Molinense - Lorca Deportiva	2:0 ✺
12.10.23	Lorca Deportiva - Caravaca	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Real Murcia B - Lorca Deportiva	1:3 ✺
01.10.23	UCAM Murcia B - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLWWL
- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
27.10.23	Eibar - Valladolid	5:1 ✺
21.10.23	Zaragoza - Eibar	2:3 ✺
15.10.23	Eibar - Huesca	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Amorebieta - Eibar	1:2 ✺
05.10.23	Mirandés - Eibar	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTWW

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