Match Info

Date: 14 March 2021, Sunday


	Lorca Deportiva		Sevilla B

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	1.9
	3.25	3.1	2.15
	3.35	3.05	2.06
	3.67	3.23	2.13
	3.6	3	2.1
	3.46	3.13	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↓ (5.15)	3.13 ↓ (3.5)	2.08 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorca Deportiva
26.5%

Draw
29.4%

Sevilla B
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

25.7%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

21.3%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorca Deportiva's performance.

Sevilla B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sevilla B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorca Deportiva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla B than the current prediction. (+24.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sevilla B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lorca Deportiva - Sevilla B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 4 (Relegation Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 4 (Second stage)).

Lorca Deportiva is Segunda Division B to Group 4 (Relegation Group)

Lorca Deportiva is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sevilla B is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lorca Deportiva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sevilla B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lorca Deportiva won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.03.21	Granada B - Lorca Deportiva	3:2 ✺
03.03.21	Yeclano Deportivo - Lorca Deportiva	1:2 ✺
20.02.21	Lorca Deportiva - UCAM Murcia	1:2 ✺
07.02.21	Real Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	1:1 ✺
31.01.21	Lorca Deportiva - Betis B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLTL
- Sevilla B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.03.21	Sevilla B - Betis B	0:0 ✺
21.02.21	El Ejido - Sevilla B	0:0 ✺
14.02.21	Sevilla B - Córdoba	1:0 ✺
07.02.21	Linares Deportivo - Sevilla B	0:3 ✺
31.01.21	Sevilla B - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.12.20	Sevilla B - Lorca Deportiva	4:0

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