Match Info

Date: 7 February 2021, Sunday


	Real Murcia		Lorca Deportiva

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	4.75
	1.6	3.4	5.2
	1.63	3.45	4.9
	1.66	3.68	5.5
	1.65	3.6	4.8
	1.65	3.84	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.65)	3.58 ↑ (3.48)	4.97 ↑ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
56%

Draw
25.6%

Lorca Deportiva
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

26%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

20.8%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Murcia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Real Murcia - Lorca Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 4 (Second stage) and 10 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 4 (Relegation Group)).

Murcia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lorca Deportiva has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Murcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Murcia have a series of guest games.

In this match Murcia is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Murcia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Murcia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Club Friendly
03.02.21	CSKA Moscow - Real Murcia	3:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
31.01.21	Sevilla B - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.01.21	CSKA Moscow - Real Murcia	5:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.01.21	Real Murcia - Betis B	0:2 ✺
17.01.21	Granada B - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLLW
- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
31.01.21	Lorca Deportiva - Betis B	2:3 ✺
24.01.21	El Ejido - Lorca Deportiva	1:1 ✺
17.01.21	Lorca Deportiva - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
10.01.21	Lorca Deportiva - Linares Deportivo	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.20	Numancia - Lorca Deportiva	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.11.20	Lorca Deportiva - Real Murcia	1:2
06.05.18	Lorca Deportiva - Real Murcia	0:2
10.12.17	Real Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	0:0
Club Friendly
31.07.15	Lorca Deportiva - Real Murcia	0:2

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