Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 2

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade du Moustoir (Lorient)

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Lorient		Rennes

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.55	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.5
	2.75	3.35	2.55
	2.85	3.44	2.59
	1.33	4.21	13.36	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.5
	2.83	3.39	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.5)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	4.1 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorient
42.3%

Draw
31.3%

Rennes
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.9%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

26.5%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorient's performance.

Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rennes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorient that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rennes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.9%	22.2%	51.9%

Lorient - Rennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Rennes will win (votes: 14 - 51.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 33.1% – 70.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Lorient (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Rennes (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Rennes (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Lorient (votes: 2 - 20%). Rennes (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kamara B. (G) 5. Mendy F. 3. Talbi M. 2. Igor Silva 77. Katseris P. 62. Avom A. 29. Karim D. 6. Abergel L. (C) 43. Kouassi A. 15. Tosin A. 28. Soumano S.	30. Samba B. (G) 4. Wooh C. 97. Jacquet J. 24. Rouault A. 26. Merlin Q. 21. Rongier V. (C) 45. Camara M. 32. Rieder F. 10. Blas L. 8. Fofana S. 39. Meite M.
Substitutes
9. Bamba M. 25. Faye A. 11. Le Bris T. 1. Leroy B. (G) 17. Makengo J. 93. Mvuka Mugisha J. 10. Pagis P. 97. Siba S. 44. Yongwa D.	16. Alemdar D. (G) 6. Cisse D. 15. Faye M. 65. Mukiele N. 18. Nagida M. 34. Salah I. 36. Seidu A. 50. Silistrie M. (G) 99. Yildirim B.
Coaches
Pantaloni O.	Beye H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Camara M. 🟥,
11', Wooh C. 🟥,
16', Meite M. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
35', Karim D. 🟨,
41', Mendy F. 🟨,
45', Soumano S. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 0, Soumano S. ⚽, Avom A. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Mendy F. ↓, Faye A. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Tosin A. ⚽, Kouassi A. (A),
56', Soumano S. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
56', Karim D. ↓, Pagis P. ↑,
63', Blas L. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
63', Rieder F. ↓, Cisse D. ↑,
65', 3 - 0, Pagis P. ⚽, Bamba M. (A),
66', Tosin A. ↓, Le Bris T. ↑,
69', 4 - 0, Le Bris T. ⚽,
71', Kouassi A. 🟨,
73', Nagida M. ↓, Seidu A. ↑,
73', Kouassi A. ↓, Yongwa D. ↑,
84', Katseris P. 🟨,
86', Abergel L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 4.

Lorient has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rennes is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lorient may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lorient has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N. (Ankle Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rennes: Ait Boudlal A. (Red Card) Brassier L. (Ankle Injury) Frankowski P. (Injury) Seidu A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Lorient: Cadiou N. (Muscle Injury) Fadiga B. (Ankle Injury) Faye A. (Leg Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:33. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.1:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Rennes - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.56%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lorient
French Ligue 1
17.08.25	Auxerre - Lorient	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Angers - Lorient	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Swansea City - Lorient	1:3 ✺
26.07.25	Guingamp - Lorient	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Lorient - Osasuna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWTT
- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
15.08.25	Rennes - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Rennes - Genoa	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Real Sociedad - Rennes	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Real Sociedad B - Rennes	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Nantes - Rennes	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
03.03.24	Rennes - Lorient	1:2
22.10.23	Lorient - Rennes	2:1
27.01.23	Lorient - Rennes	2:1
07.08.22	Rennes - Lorient	0:1
24.04.22	Rennes - Lorient	5:0
Coupe De France
18.12.21	Rennes - Lorient	1:0
French Ligue 1
28.11.21	Lorient - Rennes	0:2

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