Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 2

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade du Moustoir (Lorient)

Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5
Austria	Laola1
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	Ligue 1+
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Slovakia	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Lorient		Troyes

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.40	4.10	Watch
	1.95	3.40	4.00
	1.93	3.30	4.00	Watch
	1.96	3.54	4.38
	1.91	3.47	4.17	Watch
	1.99	3.40	4.15
	2.00	3.56	4.27	Watch
	1.99	3.50	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.94)	3.45 ↓ (3.46)	4.15 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorient
49%

Draw
27.9%

Troyes
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

27.3%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	4.3%	4.3%

Lorient - Troyes Predictions

Users Predictions: Lorient will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lorient will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Mvogo Y. (G) 20. Sylla D. 3. Talbi M. (C) 32. Adjei N. 11. Le Bris T. 62. Avom A. 8. Cadiou N. 43. Kouassi A. 33. Bernardeau G. 17. Makengo J. 42. Kone M.	33. Beach P. (G) 2. Maronnier L. 6. Monfray A. (C) 4. Diaz Jr. M. 3. Ouzenadji A. 17. Mille A. 8. Diop M. 10. Ifnaoui M. 22. Picard H. 11. Gomis I. 20. Ripart R.
Substitutes
19. Faye S. 2. Georgen A. 10. Jensen I. 21. Kamara B. (G) 77. Katseris P. 72. Mbamba N. 55. Obaretin N. 15. Tosin A. 95. Toure I.	37. Batola C. 7. Diawara K. 31. Donkor N. 5. Gozzi P. 29. Karim D. 40. Konate H. (G) 39. Kone Y. 26. Phliponeau A. 36. Soukouna I.
Coaches
Dujeux A.	Dumont S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Ripart R. (Penalty Awarded),
38', 0 - 2, Maronnier L. ⚽, Mille A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 2, Makengo J. ⚽,
66', Bernardeau G. ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
66', Kone M. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
67', Picard H. ↓, Diawara K. ↑,
73', Makengo J. ↓, Katseris P. ↑,
73', Le Bris T. ↓, Faye S. ↑,
78', Mille A. ↓, Karim D. ↑,
84', Cadiou N. ↓, Mbamba N. ↑,
85', Gomis I. ↓, Phliponeau A. ↑,
85', Ripart R. ↓, Kone Y. ↑,
86', Maronnier L. ↓, Donkor N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 3.

Lorient is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Troyes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lorient is the team to beat.

There are questionable in Lorient: Bamba M. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Troyes: Boura I. (Injury) Fatah A. (Hamstring Injury) Titi Y. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lorient: 0.35% Troyes: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5:6	-1	5
16	Troyes	5	1	1	3	4:11	-7	4

Last Results with these Odds

Lorient - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 48.68%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lorient
French Ligue 1
22.08.26	Nice - Lorient	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Elversberg - Lorient	4:1 ✺
04.08.26	Lorient - UNFP	5:1 ✺
18.07.26	Lorient - Nantes	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Concarneau - Lorient	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLWWW
- Troyes AC
French Ligue 1
22.08.26	Troyes - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.26	Troyes - Panetolikos	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	Troyes - GOAL FC	5:2 ✺
11.07.26	Nancy - Troyes	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 2
09.05.26	Grenoble - Troyes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
14.02.25	Troyes - Lorient	0:1
06.12.24	Lorient - Troyes	2:0
French Ligue 1
12.03.23	Lorient - Troyes	2:0
23.10.22	Troyes - Lorient	2:2
21.05.22	Lorient - Troyes	1:1
01.12.21	Troyes - Lorient	2:0
French Ligue 2
26.10.19	Lorient - Troyes	0:1

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