Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera B - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 10 May 2024, Friday


	Excursionistas		Cañuelas

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	5
	1.57	3.75	5
	1.57	3.67	5.47
	1.57	3.67	5.47
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.58	3.77	5.49	Watch
	1.57	3.65	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.83)	3.69 ↑ (3.31)	5.3 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excursionistas
58.2%

Draw
24.7%

Cañuelas
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

28%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.9%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excursionistas's performance.

Cañuelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excursionistas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cañuelas than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Excursionistas - Cañuelas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Siena A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Fernandez M. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
05.05.24	Deportivo Laferrere - Excursionistas	2:3 ✺
26.04.24	Excursionistas - Deportivo Merlo	3:1 ✺
21.04.24	Sacachispas - Excursionistas	0:3 ✺
13.04.24	Excursionistas - Villa Dálmine	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Excursionistas - Acassuso	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWTW
- Cañuelas FC
Argentinian Primera B
04.05.24	Cañuelas - Acassuso	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	San Martín de Burzaco - Cañuelas	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Cañuelas - UAI Urquiza	0:2 ✺
14.04.24	Colegiales - Cañuelas	4:0 ✺
08.04.24	Cañuelas - Sportivo Dock Sud	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
24.02.20	Cañuelas - Excursionistas	1:2
30.08.19	Excursionistas - Cañuelas	1:2
10.02.19	Cañuelas - Excursionistas	2:2
01.09.18	Excursionistas - Cañuelas	4:1
08.05.18	Cañuelas - Excursionistas	3:0
01.02.18	Excursionistas - Cañuelas	1:1
05.03.16	Cañuelas - Excursionistas	2:1

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