Match Info

MLS

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: BMO Stadium (Los Angeles, CA)

Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT, TNT Sports
Australia	SBS On Demand, SBS Viceland
Brazil	HBO Max
Canada	Amazon Prime Video
Chile	TNT Sports
China	QQ Sports
Ecuador	TNT
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
India	Eurosport, JioTV app
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Sports
Paraguay	TNT
Peru	TNT
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
Venezuela	TNT
World	Apple TV, EA Sports FC


	Los Angeles		Atlanta United

	1	X	2
	1.27	6	7.5	Watch
	1.42	5	6.25
	1.31	5.9	8.8
	1.32	6.11	8.17
	1.32	5.79	7.35	Watch
	1.36	5.61	7.65	Watch
	1.43	4.9	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.68)	5.62 ↑ (4)	7.39 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Angeles
70.3%

Draw
16.9%

Atlanta United
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

23.4%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

22.1%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Los Angeles's performance.

Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlanta United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Angeles that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlanta United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.3%	4.7%	0%

Los Angeles - Atlanta United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Los Angeles (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Los Angeles will win (41 of 43 users predict this - 95.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.06% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Los Angeles will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Angeles (votes: 17 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lloris H. (C) 14. Palencia S. 5. Porteous R. 91. Nkosi Tafari 24. Hollingshead R. 66. Choiniere M. 4. Segura E. 8. Delgado M. 11. Tillman T. 7. Son Heung-Min 99. Bouanga D.	42. Hibbert J. (G) 2. Hernandez R. 5. Gregersen S. 6. Berrocal J. 4. Mihaj E. 18. Amador P. 59. Miranchuk Al. 99. Slisz B. 7. Alzate S. 10. Almiron M. (C) 14. Thiare J.
Substitutes
23. Amaya F. 17. Ebobisse J. 12. Hasal T. (G) 30. Martinez D. 19. Moran A. 45. Nielsen K. 27. Ordaz N. 21. Raposo R. 29. Smolyakov A.	50. Chong-Qui D. 22. Cohen J. (G) 1. Guzan B. (G) 19. Latte Lath E. 13. Leo Afonso 9. Lobjanidze S. 8. Muyumba T. 48. Sanchez C. 30. Togashi C.
Coaches
Cherundolo S.	Deila R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Segura E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Choiniere M. 🟨,
65', Hollingshead R. ↓, Smolyakov A. ↑,
65', Choiniere M. ↓, Moran A. ↑,
72', Miranchuk Al. ↓, Muyumba T. ↑,
72', Thiare J. ↓, Latte Lath E. ↑,
78', Gregersen S. ↓, Lobjanidze S. ↑,
83', Segura E. ↓, Ebobisse J. ↑,
86', 1 - 0, Bouanga D. ⚽,
88', Delgado M. ↓, Amaya F. ↑,
90+1', Alzate S. ↓, Leo Afonso ↑,
90+1', Hernandez R. ↓, Togashi C. ↑,
90+3', Slisz B. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).

Los Angeles is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Los Angeles is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Atlanta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Los Angeles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Los Angeles is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Los Angeles: Holm O. T. (Leg Injury) Igor Jesus (Knee Injury) Long A. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Atlanta: Brennan L. (International duty) Edwards M. (Hamstring Injury) Fortune A. (Foot Injury) Reilly W. (Hamstring Injury)

We predict that Los Angeles will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Los Angeles won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Angeles FC
MLS
27.09.25	St. Louis City - Los Angeles	0:3 ✺
21.09.25	Los Angeles - Real Salt Lake	4:1 ✺
17.09.25	Real Salt Lake - Los Angeles	1:4 ✺
13.09.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles	2:4 ✺
31.08.25	Los Angeles - San Diego	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWL
- Atlanta United
MLS
27.09.25	New England Revolution - Atlanta United	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Atlanta United - San Diego	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Atlanta United - Columbus Crew	4:5 ✺
30.08.25	Nashville SC - Atlanta United	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Atlanta United - Toronto FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
25.05.24	Atlanta United - Los Angeles	0:1
07.06.23	Los Angeles - Atlanta United	0:0
15.08.21	Atlanta United - Los Angeles	1:0
26.07.19	Los Angeles - Atlanta United	4:3
07.04.18	Atlanta United - Los Angeles	5:0

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