The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Los Angeles 67%
Draw 18%
New York Red Bulls 14.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.6%
20.3%
19.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57%
19.1%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Angeles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Los Angeles's performance.
New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Angeles that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New York Red Bulls could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Los Angeles - New York Red Bulls Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Los Angeles will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Angeles (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lloris H. (G) 24. Hollingshead R. 33. Long A. (C) 91. Nkosi Tafari 45. Nielsen K. 22. Terry J. 66. Choiniere M. 23. Cheberko Y. 18. Shaffelburg J. 7. Son Heung-Min 99. Bouanga D.
34. Horvath E. (G) 12. Nealis D. 2. Che J. 14. Bazan J. 59. Padelford D. 37. Sofo M. 15. Mehmeti A. 10. Forsberg E. (C) 7. Cowell C. 13. Choupo-Moting E. M. 92. Nelich D.
Substitutes
19. Boyd T. 31. Carter C. (G) 44. Diaz C. 17. Ebobisse J. 6. Igor Jesus 90. Mihalic T. 14. Palencia S. 21. Raposo R. 9. Sieb A.
16. Hall J. 17. Harper C. 91. Jimenez M. 60. Kone S. 3. Marshall-Rutty J. 77. McCarthy J. (G) 26. Parker T. 8. Ruiz D. 11. Ruvalcaba J.
Coaches
Dos Santos M.
Bradley M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Nealis D. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Terry J. ⚽,
33', Mehmeti A. ↓, Kone S. ↑,
42', Nielsen K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Bazan J. 🟨,
56', Cowell C. ↓, Ruvalcaba J. ↑,
56', Sofo M. ↓, Hall J. ↑,
56', Choupo-Moting E. M. ↓, Jimenez M. ↑,
61', Terry J. ↓, Igor Jesus ↑,
61', Shaffelburg J. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
66', Padelford D. ↓, Marshall-Rutty J. ↑,
75', Nielsen K. ↓, Raposo R. ↑,
87', Raposo R. 🟨,
90', Bouanga D. ↓, Boyd T. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 0, Sieb A. ⚽, Hollingshead R. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
In this match, Los Angeles is the clear favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Los Angeles won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 3.5:1.3).
Outrights of MLS for now
Los Angeles FC: 6.88% New York Red Bulls: 0.9%
Last Results with these Odds
Los Angeles - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 60.64%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
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Lloris H. (G) 
Hollingshead R. 
Choiniere M. 
Cheberko Y. 
Son Heung-Min 
Bouanga D. 
Bazan J. 
Sofo M. 
Forsberg E. (C) 
Choupo-Moting E. M. 
Igor Jesus 
Mihalic T. 
Palencia S. 
Sieb A. 
Jimenez M. 
Kone S. 
Ruiz D. 
Ruvalcaba J. 
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