Match Info

MLS

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Sports Illustrated Stadium (Harrison, NJ)

Referee: Fischer D. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SportsEngine Play
World	Apple TV International


	New York Red Bulls		Philadelphia Union

	1	X	2
	3	3.9	2.1	Watch
	2.95	3.80	2.10
	2.95	3.85	2.15
	3.1	3.97	2.21
	2.86	4.01	2.21	Watch
	3	3.85	2.12
	2.97	4.44	2.13	Watch
	2.9	3.75	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (2.99)	3.95 ↑ (3.85)	2.15 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

New York Red Bulls
31.9%

Draw
24%

Philadelphia Union
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

24.4%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

24.5%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.75 - over (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Horvath E. (G) 12. Nealis D. 2. Che J. 14. Bazan J. 56. Dos Santos M. 48. Donkor R. 15. Mehmeti A. 11. Ruvalcaba J. 10. Forsberg E. (C) 7. Cowell C. 16. Hall J.	18. Blake A. (G) 39. Westfield F. 44. Pierre N. 26. Harriel N. 27. Wagner K. 6. Sullivan C. 21. Jean Jacques D. 4. Lukic J. 19. Vassilev I. 10. Iloski M. 9. Damiani B.
Substitutes
13. Choupo-Moting E. M. 17. Harper C. 91. Jimenez M. 3. Marshall-Rutty J. 77. McCarthy J. (G) 92. Nelich D. 26. Parker T. 37. Sofo M. 5. Valencia O.	23. Alladoh E. 28. Anello A. 16. Bender B. 8. Bueno J. 2. Martinez G. 14. Rafanello J. 76. Rick A. (G) 5. Sery Larsen J. 33. Sullivan Q.
Coaches
Bradley M.	Richter R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Iloski M. ⚽, Vassilev I. (A), Jean Jacques D. (A2)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ruvalcaba J. ↓, Choupo-Moting E. M. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Sullivan C. ⚽, Jean Jacques D. (A), Vassilev I. (A2)
64', Vassilev I. ↓, Sullivan Q. ↑,
65', 0 - 3, Pierre N. ⚽, Damiani B. (A), Iloski M. (A2)
67', Dos Santos M. ↓, Marshall-Rutty J. ↑,
67', Cowell C. ↓, Harper C. ↑,
67', Forsberg E. ↓, Sofo M. ↑,
74', 1 - 3, Choupo-Moting E. M. ⚽, Sofo M. (A),
79', Donkor R. 🟨,
80', Damiani B. ↓, Anello A. ↑,
80', Sullivan C. ↓, Bueno J. ↑,
85', Jean Jacques D. ↓, Alladoh E. ↑,
90+1', Anello A. 🟨,
90+2', Westfield F. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 1.

NY Red Bulls has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Philadelphia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, NY Red Bulls has had a series of home games.

Philadelphia could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Marcucci A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Cowell C. (Injury) Mosquera R. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:35. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

New York Red Bulls - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 31.44%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Philadelphia Union - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 44.16%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Red Bulls
MLS
22.08.26	New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	New York Red Bulls - Nashville SC	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Atlanta United - New York Red Bulls	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	New York Red Bulls - Orlando City	3:2 ✺
25.07.26	New York Red Bulls - Charlotte	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLLWL
- Philadelphia Union
MLS
22.08.26	Austin FC - Philadelphia Union	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	New York City - Philadelphia Union	2:3 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
13.08.26	Philadelphia Union - Santos Laguna	0:2 ✺
06.08.26	Cruz Azul - Philadelphia Union	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
22.07.26	Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls	3:1
16.08.25	New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union	1:0
US Open Cup
13.08.25	Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls	3:2
MLS
12.07.25	Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls	2:0
31.08.24	New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union	0:2
06.07.24	Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls	0:0
03.09.23	Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls	4:1

Upcoming Matches