What is the expert prediction for Toluca vs Los Angeles?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Toluca vs Los Angeles. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

How to watch Toluca vs Los Angeles live?

Check our broadcast section for official streaming options and live coverage details.

Toluca vs Los Angeles Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, May 06, 2026)

Match Info

CONCACAF Champions Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca)

Referee: Lopez W. (Gtm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Germany	Sportdigital1+
Haiti	Tele Haiti
India	FanCode, FanCode
Mexico	FOX+, FOX One
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV4
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	FOX One, FOX Sports 1, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	Disney+


	Toluca		Los Angeles

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.43	4.5	6.75
	1.39	4.75	6.1	Watch
	1.48	5.03	6.05
	1.46	5	5.93	Watch
	1.4	4.5	5.75
	1.41	4.85	6.59	Watch
	1.43	4.3	7.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.43)	4.68 ↑ (4.35)	6.35 ↓ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Toluca
65.5%

Draw
19.9%

Los Angeles
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

21.7%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

21.9%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Los Angeles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

banner

Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Toluca will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Los Angeles will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Los Angeles (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Los Angeles (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Angeles (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Garcia L. (G) 19. Simon S. 4. Bruno Mendez 25. del Villar E. 17. Isais M. 14. Ruiz M. (C) 5. Romero F. 11. Helinho 10. Angulo J. 8. Castro N. 26. Paulinho	1. Lloris H. (G) 5. Porteous R. 91. Nkosi Tafari 33. Long A. (C) 14. Palencia S. 66. Choiniere M. 8. Delgado M. 18. Shaffelburg J. 11. Tillman T. 7. Son Heung-Min 99. Bouanga D.
Substitutes
35. Alvarez A. 24. Arce F. 2. Barbosa D. 3. Briseno A. 7. Cordova S. 29. Diaz J. 1. Gonzalez H. (G) 6. Pereira F. 15. Perez P. 27. Rossi F.	19. Boyd T. 31. Carter C. (G) 17. Ebobisse J. 46. Eustaquio S. 12. Hasal T. (G) 24. Hollingshead R. 30. Martinez D. 45. Nielsen K. 27. Ordaz N. 21. Raposo R. 4. Segura E. 29. Smolyakov A.
Coaches
Mohamed A.	Dos Santos M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Porteous R. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Shaffelburg J. ↓, Hollingshead R. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Helinho (Penalty Awarded),
58', 2 - 0, del Villar E. ⚽,
59', Choiniere M. ↓, Eustaquio S. ↑,
59', Castro N. 🟨,
59', Tillman T. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
74', Isais M. ↓, Barbosa D. ↑,
76', Palencia S. ↓, Smolyakov A. ↑,
77', Long A. ↓, Ebobisse J. ↑,
82', Angulo J. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
82', Helinho ↓, Arce F. ↑,
86', Porteous R. 🟥,
90+2', Castro N. ↓, Briseno A. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Paulinho ⚽, Perez P. (A),
90+4', 4 - 0, Paulinho ⚽, Perez P. (A),

Preview

First leg result: 1-2.

Toluca has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Los Angeles has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Toluca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Toluca is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Toluca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

banner

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toluca
Mexican Liga MX
03.05.26	Toluca - Pachuca	0:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
29.04.26	Los Angeles - Toluca	2:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
25.04.26	Toluca - Club León	4:1 ✺
22.04.26	Mazatlan - Toluca	4:3 ✺
18.04.26	Club América - Toluca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL
- Los Angeles FC
MLS
02.05.26	San Diego - Los Angeles	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
29.04.26	Los Angeles - Toluca	2:1 ✺
MLS
25.04.26	Minnesota United - Los Angeles	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Los Angeles - Colorado Rapids	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions Cup
29.04.26	Los Angeles - Toluca	2:1

Toluca - Los Angeles: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide