Match Info

MLS

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Allianz Field (Saint Paul, MN)

Referee: Ford T. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SportsEngine Play
World	Apple TV International


	Minnesota United		San Diego

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.8	3.5	Watch
	2.00	3.70	3.25
	1.95	3.95	3.45
	2.06	3.88	3.5
	2.02	3.96	3.29	Watch
	2.02	3.8	3.45
	2.05	3.9	3.49	Watch
	2.03	3.7	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.94)	3.84 ↓ (3.93)	3.4 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minnesota United
47.3%

Draw
24.8%

San Diego
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

24%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Minnesota United - San Diego Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). San Diego will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Callender D. (G) 3. Duncan K. 28. Diaz J. 15. Boxall M. (C) 23. Duggan M. 13. Markanich A. 26. Pereyra J. 20. Trapp W. 30. Gene O. 8. Chancalay T. 29. Dieng M.	1. dos Santos CJ (G) 3. Thorhallsson D. 97. McVey C. 26. Duah M. 5. Sargeant K. 70. Alvarado Jr A. 6. Tverskov J. (C) 8. Valakari O. 10. Dreyer A. 7. Ingvartsen M. 19. Vazquez D.
Substitutes
22. Caldeira M. 7. Fitz D. 18. Gonzalez M. 24. Gressel J. 67. Harvey C. 21. Hlongwane B. 2. Padelford D. 1. Smir A. (G) 9. Yeboah K.	27. Bombino L. 18. Ferree D. (G) 12. Gabriel Pirani 20. Godoy A. 77. Mighten A. 9. Morgan L. 25. Pilcher I. 33. Verhoeven O. 14. Zamble B. B.
Coaches
Knowles C.	Varas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Chancalay T. ⚽, Trapp W. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Sargeant K. ↓, Bombino L. ↑,
61', Vazquez D. ↓, Mighten A. ↑,
61', Alvarado Jr A. ↓, Gabriel Pirani ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Dreyer A. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Dreyer A. 🟨,
64', Callender D. 🟨,
65', Markanich A. ↓, Padelford D. ↑,
65', Dieng M. ↓, Yeboah K. ↑,
80', Chancalay T. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
80', Duncan K. ↓, Hlongwane B. ↑,
84', Valakari O. ↓, Godoy A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 12).

Minnesota will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Minnesota: Romero N. (Lower-Body Injury) Triantis N. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in San Diego: Pellegrino A. (Lower-Body Injury) Reyes A. (Leg Injury) Sisniega P. (Back Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Minnesota won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minnesota United
MLS
25.07.26	Minnesota United - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:0 ✺
22.07.26	Sporting Kansas City - Minnesota United	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Minnesota United - Real Salt Lake	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	New England Revolution - Minnesota United	2:1 ✺
13.05.26	Minnesota United - Colorado Rapids	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLTLL
- San Diego FC
MLS
25.07.26	San Diego - FC Dallas	1:0 ✺
22.07.26	Colorado Rapids - San Diego	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	San Diego - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:4 ✺
16.05.26	San Diego - Cincinnati	3:3 ✺
13.05.26	San Diego - Austin FC	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
11.04.26	San Diego - Minnesota United	1:2
24.11.25	San Diego - Minnesota United	1:0
13.09.25	San Diego - Minnesota United	1:3
14.06.25	Minnesota United - San Diego	2:4

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