The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Los Angeles 2 42.9%
Draw 24.6%
Ventura County 32.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.9%
24.2%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48%
25.3%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Angeles 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Ventura County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles 2 than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Los Angeles 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Los Angeles 2 - Ventura County Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
61. Failla B. (G) 42. Ozar M. 44. Diaz C. 55. Diaz E. 83. Kaplan S. 68. Lambert L. 36. Guerra D. (C) 40. Nava S. 49. Kosakoff C. 47. Aiyenero M. 81. Rodriguez E.
41. Conlon S. (G) 88. Vanney M. 73. Martinez E. 60. Hernandez S. (C) 50. Dalgado R. 90. Phan B. 87. Arnold G. 74. Ittycheria D. 68. Muller L. 95. Preston E. 57. Placias J.
Substitutes
32. Babineau T. 51. Gamez M. (G) 39. Mardaresco N. 87. Sanchez A. 75. Sanders A. 56. Villeda E. 34. Whitchurch G.
80. Djieze J. 45. Garcia V. 61. Gozdieski C. 92. Nielsen N. 64. Pepe 47. Vilamitjana A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', Kaplan S. 🟨,
21', 🟨,
25', Rodriguez E. 🟨,
29', Diaz E. ↓, Whitchurch G. ↑,
29', 0 - 1, Vanney M. ⚽, Ittycheria D. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Whitchurch G. ⚽,
38', Hernandez S. 🟨,
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Failla B. ↓, Gamez M. ↑,
73', Arnold G. ↓, Garcia V. ↑,
73', Preston E. ↓, Djieze J. ↑,
76', Aiyenero M. ↓, Mardaresco N. ↑,
83', Djieze J. 🟨,
83', Dalgado R. ↓, Gozdieski C. ↑,
84', Muller L. ↓, Vilamitjana A. ↑,
87', Gozdieski C. 🟨,
90', Ittycheria D. ↓, Pepe ↑,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Placias J. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Guerra D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Phan B. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kosakoff C. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Djieze J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Lambert L. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Garcia V. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Nava S. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Martinez E. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles 2 won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Ventura County may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles 2 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Los Angeles 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
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Failla B. (G) 
Diaz E. 
Guerra D. (C) 
Aiyenero M. 
Arnold G. 
Muller L. 
Gamez M. (G) 
Djieze J. 
Vilamitjana A. 
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