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Current Win Probability
Portland Timbers 2 45.8%
Draw 25.5%
Los Angeles 2 28.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.1%
23.8%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.6%
23.1%
26.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Timbers 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Los Angeles 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles 2 than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Portland Timbers 2 - Los Angeles 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
91. Joseph S. (G) 57. VanVoorhis B. 44. Bamford A. 61. Lund N. 94. Ondo C. 46. Enriquez V. (C) 73. Izoita E. 39. Griffith C. 35. Fernandez-Kim L. 53. Ferguson C. 47. Cervantes D.
51. Gamez M. (G) 62. Santiago J. 44. Diaz C. (C) 34. Whitchurch G. 83. Kaplan S. 88. Villalba C. 36. Guerra D. 56. Villeda E. 67. Machuca J. 49. Kosakoff C. 81. Rodriguez E.
Substitutes
77. Barjolo B. 66. Cruthers C. 64. Izoita J. 90. Kissel M. 81. Mueller H. 51. Nelson M. (G) 63. Nunez D. 48. Zendejas N.
32. Babineau T. 55. Diaz E. 35. Goodman L. 68. Lambert L. 39. Mardaresco N. 92. Ponciano E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Machuca J. ↓, Mardaresco N. ↑,
56', Izoita E. 🟨,
61', Villalba C. ↓, Lambert L. ↑,
62', Cervantes D. ↓, Barjolo B. ↑,
62', Griffith C. ↓, Kissel M. ↑,
74', Ferguson C. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
90', Whitchurch G. 🟨,
90+2', Villeda E. ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
90+2', Rodriguez E. ↓, Ponciano E. ↑,
Penalties (8 - 7)
1, Guerra D. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Lund N. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kosakoff C. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Ondo C. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Diaz E. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Fernandez-Kim L. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Santiago J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Izoita E. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Ponciano E. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Bamford A. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Kaplan S. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Kissel M. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Lambert L. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Enriquez V. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Mardaresco N. (Penalty Awarded),
8, VanVoorhis B. (Penalty Awarded),
9, Diaz C. (Penalty Awarded),
9, Barjolo B. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 4.
Portland 2 has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Los Angeles 2 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Portland 2 has had a series of away games.
Portland 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Portland 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 3:1.5).