The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ventura County 37.3%
Draw 25%
Portland Timbers 2 37.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.6%
25.5%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
24.8%
42.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ventura County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Portland Timbers 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Ventura County - Portland Timbers 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Conlon S. (C) 60. Hernandez S. 94. McLean M. 73. Martinez E. 50. Dalgado R. 87. Arnold G. 45. Garcia V. 80. Djieze J. 68. Muller L. 95. Preston E. 57. Placias J.
91. Joseph S. (C) 57. VanVoorhis B. 44. Bamford A. 61. Lund N. 81. Mueller H. 35. Fernandez-Kim L. 46. Enriquez V. 77. Barjolo B. 39. Griffith C. 73. Izoita E. 47. Cervantes D.
Substitutes
61. Bank P. 75. Medina A. 64. Pepe 90. Phan B. 88. Vanney M. 47. Vilamitjana A. 83. Villatoro A. 91. Walker W.
66. Cruthers C. 53. Ferguson C. 90. Kissel M. 63. Nunez D. 94. Ondo C. 37. Santos N. 55. Tamblyn K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Lund N. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Cervantes D. (Penalty Awarded),
45', 1 - 1, Preston E. ⚽, Placias J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Martinez E. 🟨,
57', Fernandez-Kim L. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
59', McLean M. ↓, Phan B. ↑,
59', Djieze J. ↓, Vanney M. ↑,
60', 2 - 1, Preston E. ⚽, Arnold G. (A),
64', Griffith C. ↓, Ondo C. ↑,
64', Barjolo B. ↓, Santos N. ↑,
67', 2 - 2, Cervantes D. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Cervantes D. ↓, Kissel M. ↑,
75', Arnold G. ↓, Bank P. ↑,
76', VanVoorhis B. ↓, Ferguson C. ↑,
76', Dalgado R. ↓, Vilamitjana A. ↑,
88', Preston E. ↓, Villatoro A. ↑,
90+2', Ondo C. 🟨,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Ondo C. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Placias J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Lund N. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Phan B. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Izoita E. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Vilamitjana A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Bamford A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Vanney M. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Kissel M. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Portland 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ventura County won 4.
Ventura County is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Portland 2 is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Portland 2 might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ventura County won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 2.3:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Ventura County won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
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Conlon S. (C) 
Arnold G. 
Djieze J. 
Muller L. 
Bamford A. 
Lund N. 
Griffith C. 
Cervantes D. 
Vilamitjana A. 
Ondo C. 
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