The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Los Angeles Galaxy 37.6%
Draw 24.7%
New England Revolution 37.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48%
24.8%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
24.3%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Los Angeles Galaxy's form might have worsened.
New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New England Revolution's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Los Angeles Galaxy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-11%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New England Revolution, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
37.5%
62.5%
Los Angeles Galaxy - New England Revolution Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. New England will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for New England: 29% – 96%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - New England (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. New England (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Marcinkowski J. (G) 26. Miller H. 5. Glesnes J. 15. Haak J. 3. Aude J. 27. Thommy E. 18. Reus M. (C) 6. Roberto S. 21. Taylor R. 7. Furuhashi K. 11. Lozano H.
30. Turner M. (G) 8. Polster M. 22. Kohler E. 2. Fofana M. 23. Sands W. 10. Gil C. (C) 21. Raines B. 80. Yusuf A. 11. Harrison J. 99. Turgeman D. 25. Miller P.
Substitutes
76. Elgersma T. 25. Garces C. 1. Micovic N. (G) 14. Nelson J. 28. Paintsil J. 16. Parente I. 17. Ruiz P. 8. Sanabria L. 4. Yoshida M.
4. Beason T. 77. Fagundez D. 12. Feingold I. 16. Gazdag D. 27. Harris W. 41. Langoni L. 33. Parisian D. (G) 7. Yow G. 14. Yueill J.
Coaches
Vanney G.
Mitrovic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
10', Sands W. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Reus M. (Penalty Awarded),
33', 2 - 0, Taylor R. ⚽, Lozano H. (A),
44', Harrison J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Thommy E. ↓, Ruiz P. ↑,
58', Roberto S. ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
60', Miller H. 🟨,
63', Lozano H. 🟨,
74', Taylor R. ↓, Paintsil J. ↑,
74', Furuhashi K. ↓, Parente I. ↑,
75', Sands W. ↓, Gazdag D. ↑,
76', Fofana M. 🟨,
80', Turgeman D. ↓, Harris W. ↑,
83', Lozano H. ↓, Elgersma T. ↑,
85', Polster M. ↓, Feingold I. ↑,
85', Yusuf A. ↓, Langoni L. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 1, Gil C. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 4.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 2.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, LA Galaxy won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Los Angeles Galaxy - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 47.99%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
New England Revolution - the odds 3.44 are the expected chance of winning is 27.25%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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Marcinkowski J. (G) 
Glesnes J. 
Aude J. 
Thommy E. 
Roberto S. 
Taylor R. 
Furuhashi K. 
Lozano H. 
Fofana M. 
Yusuf A. 
Harrison J. 
Turgeman D. 
Garces C. 
Micovic N. (G) 
Paintsil J. 
Sanabria L. 
Gazdag D. 
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