Match Info

MLS

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Bank of America Stadium (Charlotte, NC)

Referee: Freemon J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports 1, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Charlotte		New York City

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.6	2.57	Watch
	2.58	3.55	2.62	Watch
	2.62	3.6	2.73
	2.61	3.41	2.66	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.6
	2.63	3.59	2.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.13)	3.5 ↓ (3.66)	2.64 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlotte
37%

Draw
27.1%

New York City
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

25.8%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

26.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlotte's form might have worsened.

New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New York City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charlotte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New York City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	36.4%	18.2%

Charlotte - New York City Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Charlotte will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). NY City will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charlotte: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Charlotte (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Charlotte (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kahlina K. (G) 14. Byrne N. 44. Agyemang M. 3. Ream T. (C) 23. Schnegg D. 28. Diani D. 17. de la Torre L. 18. Calderon Vargas K. A. 16. Biel P. 10. Zaha W. 9. Toklomati I.	49. Freese M. (G) 24. Gray T. 13. Thiago Martins (C) 34. Raul Gustavo 2. Cavallo N. 55. Parks K. 5. Trewin K. 26. Ojeda A. 10. Moralez M. 17. Wolf H. 7. Mercau N.
Substitutes
11. Abada L. 37. Aloko R. 13. Bronico B. 35. Cleary W. 7. Goodwin A. 48. John A. 21. Miller T. (G) 4. Privett A. 25. Smalls T.	29. Carrizo M. 87. Farnos A. 88. Jones M. 8. Perea A. 15. Pierre K. 99. Reid S. 30. Romero T. (G) 32. Shore J. 19. Tanasijevic S.
Coaches
Smith D.	Jansen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Mercau N. ⚽, Wolf H. (A),
29', Mercau N. 🟨,
33', Ojeda A. 🟨,
36', Diani D. 🟨,
38', Biel P. 🟨,
40', Wolf H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Ojeda A. ↓, Jones M. ↑,
71', Zaha W. 🟨,
74', Toklomati I. ↓, Goodwin A. ↑,
74', Calderon Vargas K. A. ↓, Aloko R. ↑,
81', Mercau N. ↓, Perea A. ↑,
82', Parks K. ↓, Farnos A. ↑,
82', Moralez M. ↓, Reid S. ↑,
84', Jones M. 🟨,
87', Goodwin A. 🟨,
88', Biel P. ↓, Smalls T. ↑,
90+4', Raul Gustavo 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 2.

Charlotte is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

NY City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

NY City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Charlotte might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Charlotte: Kessler H. (Lower-Body Injury) Toffolo H. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in NY City: Baiera D. (Knee Injury) Martinez A. (Knee Injury) O'Neill A. (Ankle Injury) O'Toole K. (Leg Injury) Perea A. (Leg Injury) Talles Magno (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Outrights of MLS for now

New York City: 1.05%

Last Results with these Odds

Charlotte - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 44.33%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlotte FC
MLS
09.05.26	Charlotte - Cincinnati	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	New England Revolution - Charlotte	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
28.04.26	Charlotte - Atlanta United	0:2 ✺
MLS
25.04.26	Nashville SC - Charlotte	4:2 ✺
22.04.26	Orlando City - Charlotte	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLLLL
- New York City FC
MLS
10.05.26	New York City - Columbus Crew	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	New York City - DC United	0:2 ✺
US Open Cup
29.04.26	New York Red Bulls - New York City	1:3 ✺
MLS
25.04.26	CF Montréal - New York City	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	New York City - Cincinnati	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
18.04.26	New York City - Charlotte	1:2
07.11.25	Charlotte - New York City	1:3
01.11.25	New York City - Charlotte	0:1 penalties
28.10.25	Charlotte - New York City	0:1
20.09.25	New York City - Charlotte	2:0
12.07.25	Charlotte - New York City	2:0
27.04.24	New York City - Charlotte	2:1

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