Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 8 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Dignity Health Sports Park (Carson)

Referee: Bazakos F. (Usa)


	Los Angeles Galaxy		Philadelphia Union

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.63	Watch
	2.45	3.6	2.6
	2.5	3.7	2.55
	2.53	3.87	2.68
	2.3	3.4	2.5	Watch
	2.47	3.78	2.58	Watch
	2.48	3.6	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.31)	3.64 ↑ (3.4)	2.6 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Angeles Galaxy
38%

Draw
25.8%

Philadelphia Union
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

27.2%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

27.5%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	26.3%	47.4%

Los Angeles Galaxy - Philadelphia Union Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. LA Galaxy will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Klinsmann J. (G) 2. Lucas Calegari 18. Leerdam K. 17. Mavinga C. 44. Edwards R. 8. Delgado M. 5. Brugman G. 6. Puig R. 11. Boyd T. 31. Judd P. 10. Costa D.	12. Bendik J. (G) 15. Mbaizo O. 5. Glesnes J. 3. Elliott J. 2. Real M. 11. Bedoya A. 8. Martinez J. 10. Gazdag D. 31. Flach L. 9. Carranza J. 7. Uhre M.
Substitutes
37. Aguirre D. 7. Alvarez E. 3. Aude J. 19. Cuevas M. 9. Joveljic D. 35. Micovic N. (G) 56. Perez J. 16. Rosell O. 30. Vivi Quesada G.	20. Bueno J. 25. Donovan C. 26. Harriel N. 16. McGlynn J. 6. Perea A. 14. Rafanello J. 33. Sullivan Q. 19. Torres J. 13. Trent H. (G)
Coaches
Vanney G.	Curtin J.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches LA Galaxy won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

LA Galaxy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in LA Galaxy: Caceres M. (Injury) Chicharito (Knee Injury) Rodriguez M. (Injury)

There will not play in Philadelphia: Wagner K. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches LA Galaxy won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 20-6.

Including matches at home between the teams LA Galaxy won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Angeles Galaxy
MLS
04.07.23	Los Angeles Galaxy - Los Angeles	2:1 ✺
01.07.23	San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:2 ✺
24.06.23	Colorado Rapids - Los Angeles Galaxy	0:0 ✺
21.06.23	Los Angeles Galaxy - Sporting Kansas City	2:2 ✺
11.06.23	St. Louis City - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTTTT
- Philadelphia Union
MLS
02.07.23	Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union	2:0 ✺
24.06.23	Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami	4:1 ✺
21.06.23	Orlando City - Philadelphia Union	2:2 ✺
10.06.23	San Jose Earthquakes - Philadelphia Union	2:1 ✺
03.06.23	Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
13.04.19	Los Angeles Galaxy - Philadelphia Union	2:0
21.07.18	Philadelphia Union - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:3
29.04.17	Los Angeles Galaxy - Philadelphia Union	0:0
11.05.16	Philadelphia Union - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:2
20.06.15	Los Angeles Galaxy - Philadelphia Union	5:1
25.05.14	Los Angeles Galaxy - Philadelphia Union	4:1
15.05.13	Philadelphia Union - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:4

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