Match Info

Date: 12 December 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Los Garres		Caravaca

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Los Garres
25.1%

Draw
29.2%

Caravaca
45.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

31.2%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

21.4%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Garres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Los Garres's form might have worsened.

Caravaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caravaca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Garres than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caravaca than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caravaca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 14 and 13).

Los Garres is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Caravaca is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Los Garres could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Caravaca is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Los Garres
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
04.12.21	Los Garres - Racing Murcia	1:2 ✺
28.11.21	Mazarrón - Los Garres	1:0 ✺
21.11.21	Los Garres - Real Murcia B	1:1 ✺
14.11.21	Bala Azul - Los Garres	2:1 ✺
07.11.21	Los Garres - Cartagena FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTLW
- UD Caravaca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
05.12.21	Mazarrón - Caravaca	3:0 ✺
28.11.21	Caravaca - Bala Azul	1:1 ✺
21.11.21	Ciudad de Murcia - Caravaca	1:3 ✺
14.11.21	Caravaca - Yeclano Deportivo	1:1 ✺
07.11.21	Bullense - Caravaca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTWTL

Los Garres - Caravaca