Match Info

US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Lynn Family Stadium (Louisville, KY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+


	Louisville City		Austin FC

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.32	Watch
	2.28	3.55	2.88
	2.44	3.41	2.77
	2.24	3.38	2.95	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.44	3.34	2.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.47)	3.36 ↓ (3.52)	2.72 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louisville City
38.9%

Draw
27.3%

Austin FC
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

25.8%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

24.9%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Louisville City - Austin FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Louisville City will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Austin will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Austin (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Austin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fauroux H. (G) 4. Totsch S. 5. Dayes B. 32. Adams K. (C) 15. Perez E. 6. Duncan Z. 8. Davila T. 3. Morris J. 27. Davila E. 14. Showunmi T. 7. Serrano R.	12. Las D. (G) 35. Djordjevic M. 4. Hines-Ike B. (C) 15. Bell J. 3. Desler M. 20. Dubersarsky N. 8. Pereira D. 29. Guilherme Biro 11. Torres F. 10. Uzuni M. 7. Nelson J.
Substitutes
47. Akale M. 13. Dia A. 9. Donovan C. 12. Faundez D. (G) 16. Moguel C. 19. Niang B. 25. Wilson J.	19. Fodrey C. 23. Kolmanic Z. 30. Rosales J. 14. Sabovic B. 1. Stuver B. (G) 5. Svatok O. 16. Taylor R.
Coaches
Bird S.	Estevez N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', Pereira D. ↓, Sabovic B. ↑,
11', Perez E. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Totsch S. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
32', 2 - 0, Showunmi T. ⚽, Perez E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Djordjevic M. ↓, Rosales J. ↑,
51', Perez E. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
52', Davila T. 🟨,
63', Showunmi T. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
63', Davila E. ↓, Akale M. ↑,
64', Bell J. 🟨,
64', Nelson J. ↓, Svatok O. ↑,
64', Dubersarsky N. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,
67', Hines-Ike B. 🟨,
70', 2 - 1, Fodrey C. ⚽, Rosales J. (A),
78', Desler M. ↓, Kolmanic Z. ↑,
85', Duncan Z. ↓, Niang B. ↑,
85', Morris J. ↓, Dia A. ↑,
90+4', Fauroux H. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Louisville City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Austin has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Louisville City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Austin FC - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.5%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisville City FC
USL Championship
10.04.26	Loudoun United - Louisville City	3:3 ✺
04.04.26	Louisville City - Charleston Battery	0:2 ✺
US Open Cup
01.04.26	Lexington - Louisville City	0:2 ✺
USL Championship
28.03.26	Brooklyn - Louisville City	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Louisville City - Rhode Island	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWWW
- Austin FC
MLS
11.04.26	Austin FC - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Inter Miami - Austin FC	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Austin FC - Los Angeles	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Real Salt Lake - Austin FC	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Charlotte - Austin FC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTTLL

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