Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 25

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday


	Loures		Sertanense

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	1.9
	4.17	3.12	1.93
	4.05	3.28	1.87
	3.5	3.3	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.26)	3.23 ↑ (2.95)	1.91 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loures
24%

Draw
28.3%

Sertanense
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

30.6%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

29.6%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loures has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sertanense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loures than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sertanense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 7).

Loures is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sertanense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sertanense is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Loures won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Loures won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grupo Sportivo de Loures
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.04.23	Alcains - Loures	2:5 ✺
19.03.23	Arronches Benfica - Loures	1:2 ✺
12.03.23	Loures - Pero Pinheiro	2:2 ✺
05.03.23	Coruchense - Loures	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Loures - Sintrense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WWTTW
- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.04.23	Sertanense - Pero Pinheiro	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Coruchense - Sertanense	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	Sertanense - Sintrense	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	União de Santarém - Sertanense	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Sertanense - SB Castelo Branco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.12.22	Sertanense - Loures	2:1
05.05.19	Loures - Sertanense	2:3
06.01.19	Sertanense - Loures	0:0

Loures - Sertanense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide