Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 15

Date: 25 October 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Lovech		Spartak Varna

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.33	3.25	1.78	Watch
	4.09	3.3	1.81
	3.97	3.21	1.81
	4.33	3.18	1.8	Watch
	4.4	3.25	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (3.5)	3.24 ↑ (2.92)	1.79 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lovech
21.5%

Draw
28%

Spartak Varna
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

31.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

30.5%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lovech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Spartak Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartak Varna's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lovech than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak Varna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lovech - Spartak Varna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bozhev A. (G) 11. Abdulganiyu S. 3. Angelov A. 17. Bucci K. 8. Ignatov E. 16. Ivanov I. (C) 5. Minkov M. 83. Penev I. 4. Staykov G. 33. Tashev G. 10. Vasilev V.	23. Georgiev G. (G) 29. Ahmedov A. 5. Baurenski Y. 2. Boev V. 13. Ivanov G. 14. Ivey R. 9. Mehmed M. 11. Mitev V. (C) 45. Nachev D. 3. Petrov P. 6. Tsvetkov A.
Substitutes
12. Georgiev D. 9. Georgiev G. 6. Lozanov Y. 15. Marinov R. 14. Vasilev V. 77. Yankov M. 99. Yotov N. (G) 7. Zhabov P.	19. Aleksandrov A. 44. Granchov A. 18. Hyusein H. 7. Iliev E. 77. Marinov L. 75. N'Zi J. 8. Vasev B. 89. Videnov N. (G) 81. Zehirov A.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 4).

Litex is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Spartak Varna is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Litex could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Spartak Varna is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Litex won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Litex won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lovech
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
20.10.23	Belasitsa Petrich - Lovech	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.10.23	CSKA Sofia - Lovech	5:1 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
07.10.23	Lovech - Bdin Vidin	0:1 ✺
03.10.23	Chernomorets Burgas - Lovech	2:1 ✺
29.09.23	Lovech - Yantra Gabrovo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLLT
- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
20.10.23	Spartak Varna - Chernomorets Balchik	4:0 ✺
09.10.23	Montana - Spartak Varna	1:1 ✺
02.10.23	Spartak Varna - Strumska Slava Radomir	2:0 ✺
28.09.23	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Spartak Varna	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Spartak Varna - Septemvri Sofia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
09.03.22	Lovech - Spartak Varna	2:1
22.08.21	Spartak Varna - Lovech	2:1
10.11.19	Spartak Varna - Lovech	0:4

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