Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 38

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Ancona		Lucchese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.34	4.4	7.25
	1.36	4.5	8	Watch
	1.42	4.3	8.34
	1.42	4.2	8.41
	1.29	4.5	9
	1.38	4.36	7.85
	1.34	4.6	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.75)	4.41 ↑ (3.38)	8.15 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ancona
67.7%

Draw
21%

Lucchese
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.8%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

25.7%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ancona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ancona's performance.

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucchese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ancona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucchese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Ancona - Lucchese Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ancona will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Lucchese will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Perucchini F. (G) 4. Cella S. 27. Pasini N. 5. Mondonico D. 3. Martina A. 8. Gatto E. (C) 99. Basso G. 21. Paolucci L. 11. Cioffi A. 94. Saco C. 9. Spagnoli A.	1. Coletta J. (G) 14. Quirini E. 97. De Maria V. 20. Fazzi N. 72. Visconti E. 2. Alagna M. 7. Tumbarello 19. Russo F. 30. Cangianiello S. 77. Guadagni G. 45. Yeboah P.
Substitutes
19. Agyemang G. 70. Barnaba T. 23. Clemente G. 24. D'Eramo M. 10. Energe A. 28. Giampaolo D. 13. Marenco F. 90. Moretti F. 30. Pellizzari S. 33. Prezioso M. 34. Radicchio V. M. 22. Testagrossa G. (G) 12. Vitali L. (G) 80. Vogiatzis V.	23. Benassai F. 12. Berti F. (G) 22. Chiorra N. (G) 17. Djibril M. 10. Fedato F. 38. Leone M. 99. Magnaghi S. 47. Ndiaye B. 3. Perotta N. . Rizzo Pinna A. 4. Toma R. 8. Tumbarello G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Alagna M. 🟨,
40', Martina A. 🟨,
45+2', Astrologo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Guadagni G. ↓, Perotta N. ↑,
68', Cella S. 🟨,
75', Visconti E. ↓, Djibril M. ↑,
80', Cioffi A. ↓, Barnaba T. ↑,
80', Martina A. ↓, Agyemang G. ↑,
82', Basso G. 🟨,
84', Djibril M. 🟨,
85', Russo F. ↓, Leone M. ↑,
85', Cangianiello S. ↓, Ndiaye B. ↑,
88', Saco C. ↓, Giampaolo D. ↑,
88', Mondonico D. ↓, Clemente G. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ancona won 1.

Recent matches Ancona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lucchese is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ancona is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Ancona won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Ancona won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Ancona 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
21.04.24	Pescara - Ancona	0:2 ✺
14.04.24	Ancona - Sestri Levante	3:1 ✺
07.04.24	Pontedera - Ancona	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Ancona - SPAL	0:0 ✺
23.03.24	Recanatese - Ancona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLTL
- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
21.04.24	Lucchese - Carrarese	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Fermana - Lucchese	2:1 ✺
08.04.24	Lucchese - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
28.03.24	Vis Pesaro - Lucchese	1:3 ✺
24.03.24	Lucchese - Cesena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
22.12.23	Lucchese - Ancona	1:0
Italian Serie C Group A
11.05.23	Ancona - Lucchese	1:1
Italian Serie C Group B
05.03.23	Lucchese - Ancona	1:1
29.10.22	Ancona - Lucchese	2:1
30.01.22	Lucchese - Ancona	2:2
25.09.21	Ancona - Lucchese	3:1
27.02.16	Ancona - Lucchese	3:0

Ancona - Lucchese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide