Match Info

Date: 22 November 2020, Sunday


	Lucchese		Giana Erminio

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.5
	2.6	2.9	2.65
	2.65	2.88	2.6
	2.7	2.9	2.47
	2.9	3.22	2.54
	2.88	3	2.5
	2.8	3.02	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.35)	2.99 ↓ (3.04)	2.54 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucchese
33.5%

Draw
30.6%

Giana Erminio
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

30.1%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

22%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucchese's form might have worsened.

Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucchese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giana Erminio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lucchese - Giana Erminio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Lucchese has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Giana Erminio is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Giana Erminio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group A
18.11.20	Olbia - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
25.10.20	Lucchese - Juventus U23	0:1 ✺
22.10.20	Pro Patria - Lucchese	3:0 ✺
19.10.20	Lucchese - Como	2:3 ✺
11.10.20	Pro Vercelli - Lucchese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLL
- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
18.11.20	Pro Vercelli - Giana Erminio	4:0 ✺
15.11.20	Giana Erminio - Pontedera	2:3 ✺
11.11.20	Livorno - Giana Erminio	3:0 ✺
25.10.20	Giana Erminio - Como	2:1 ✺
21.10.20	Pro Sesto - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
14.04.18	Giana Erminio - Lucchese	0:2
26.11.17	Lucchese - Giana Erminio	0:3
06.05.17	Giana Erminio - Lucchese	1:0
18.12.16	Lucchese - Giana Erminio	1:2

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