Match Info

Date: 6 November 2021, Saturday


	Pontedera		Grosseto

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.3
	2	3.1	3.4
	2.12	3	3.2
	2.2	2.99	3.31
	2.2	3.1	3.3
	2.16	3.24	3.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.21)	3.07 ↓ (3.32)	3.29 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontedera
42.7%

Draw
29.6%

Grosseto
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

27.9%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

18.9%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontedera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Grosseto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pontedera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grosseto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pontedera - Grosseto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out)).

Pontedera has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Grosseto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pontedera will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Pontedera won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Pontedera won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
31.10.21	Fermana - Pontedera	1:0 ✺
25.10.21	Pontedera - Reggiana	2:2 ✺
19.10.21	Cesena - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
16.10.21	Pontedera - Lucchese	2:3 ✺
09.10.21	Gubbio - Pontedera	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLLL
- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie C Group B
31.10.21	Grosseto - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
23.10.21	Imolese - Grosseto	5:0 ✺
19.10.21	Grosseto - Teramo	1:1 ✺
16.10.21	Grosseto - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
10.10.21	Viterbese - Grosseto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
28.02.21	Grosseto - Pontedera	3:1
01.11.20	Pontedera - Grosseto	0:0
Italian Serie C Group B
28.03.15	Grosseto - Pontedera	1:0
16.11.14	Pontedera - Grosseto	2:1
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
05.01.14	Grosseto - Pontedera	2:2
01.09.13	Pontedera - Grosseto	5:2

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