Match Info

Date: 17 October 2020, Saturday


	Luckenwalde		Bischofswerdaer

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.9	4.1
	1.7	3.65	4.1
	1.75	4.01	4.43
	1.74	4.1	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.64)	3.92 ↓ (4.02)	4.21 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luckenwalde
54.3%

Draw
23.7%

Bischofswerdaer
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

23.1%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

18.6%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luckenwalde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Bischofswerdaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luckenwalde than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luckenwalde, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bischofswerdaer than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bischofswerdaer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Luckenwalde - Bischofswerdaer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Luckenwalde is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bischofswerdaer has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Luckenwalde could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Luckenwalde is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV 63 Luckenwalde
German Regionalliga Nordost
03.10.20	Chemie Leipzig - Luckenwalde	2:0 ✺
26.09.20	Carl Zeiss Jena - Luckenwalde	2:0 ✺
23.09.20	Luckenwalde - Berliner AK 07	1:1 ✺
20.09.20	Hertha Berlin II - Luckenwalde	1:2 ✺
06.09.20	Luckenwalde - Berliner FC Dynamo	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLTWL
- Bischofswerdaer FV 08
German Regionalliga Nordost
27.09.20	Berliner AK 07 - Bischofswerdaer	3:1 ✺
23.09.20	Bischofswerdaer - Hertha Berlin II	1:1 ✺
19.09.20	Berliner FC Dynamo - Bischofswerdaer	6:2 ✺
06.09.20	Bischofswerdaer - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:2 ✺
02.09.20	Union Fürstenwalde - Bischofswerdaer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLL

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