Match Info

efbet League - Round 5

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Referee: Draganov D. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ludogorets Razgrad		Botev Plovdiv

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.10	5.50	Watch
	1.55	4.10	5.00
	1.55	4.10	5.50
	1.59	4.25	5.86
	1.62	3.98	5.11	Watch
	1.57	4.10	5.30
	1.56	4.07	5.46	Watch
	1.51	4.10	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.6)	4.1 ↑ (3.95)	5.37 ↑ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludogorets Razgrad
59.8%

Draw
22.8%

Botev Plovdiv
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

23.4%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

22.3%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Botev Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ludogorets (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Ludogorets (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ludogorets Razgrad will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ludogorets (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Bonmann H. (G) 2. Andersson J. 15. Kurtulus E. 3. Nedyalkov A. 42. Shishkov S. 26. Kaloc F. 18. Chochev I. 37. Tekpetey B. 20. Camara A. 7. Salido Tajero A. 12. Rwan Cruz	29. Naumov D. (G) 82. Mendes V. 87. Petrov S. 20. Awany T. 27. Hein B. 77. Lucas Araujo 10. Chandarov A. 19. Rodrigues M. 7. Iliev N. 90. Kalu S. 30. Mascote
Substitutes
29. Bile E. 9. Duah K. 23. Duarte D. 40. Marinov A. 55. Nachmias I. 1. Padt S. (G) 22. Polendakov M. 17. Son 5. Terziev G. 27. Vinicius Nogueira 82. Yordanov I.	9. Chidera O. M. 28. Jocu H. 15. Kostov B. 17. Milanov G. 21. Prandzhev N. (G) 22. Senger M. 45. Silva E. 23. Tonev D. 13. Tsonov S. 6. Videv I. 16. Vidolov V.
Coaches
Reis T.	Genchev S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Awany T. (Own goal),
34', 2 - 0, Rwan Cruz ⚽, Tekpetey B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Iliev N. ↓, Milanov G. ↑,
46', Awany T. ↓, Senger M. ↑,
60', Mascote ↓, Chidera O. M. ↑,
71', Salido Tajero A. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
71', Rodrigues M. ↓, Tonev D. ↑,
71', Chandarov A. ↓, Silva E. ↑,
79', Rwan Cruz 🟨,
80', Rwan Cruz ↓, Duah K. ↑,
80', Shishkov S. ↓, Vinicius Nogueira ↑,
80', Tekpetey B. ↓, Bile E. ↑,
90', Camara A. ↓, Marinov A. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ludogorets won 4.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Botev Plovdiv has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ludogorets is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ludogorets won 17 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 43:16. (average 2.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ludogorets won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 24:10. (average 2.2:0.9).

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

Ludogorets: 30.04% Botev Plovdiv: 0.43%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ludogorets	9	7	2	0	16:7	9	23
6	Botev Plovdiv	10	5	1	4	16:14	2	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
09.08.26	Cherno More Varna - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:3 ✺
02.08.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Vratsa	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Hapoel Tel Aviv	2:2 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
27.07.26	Dunav Ruse - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWTWL
- Botev Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
10.08.26	Botev Plovdiv - Spartak Varna	3:2 ✺
01.08.26	Botev Plovdiv - Cherno More Varna	1:0 ✺
27.07.26	CSKA Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	3:2 ✺
21.07.26	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Botev Plovdiv - Spartak Varna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
23.02.26	Botev Plovdiv - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:1
31.08.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv	2:1
Bulgarian Cup
27.02.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv	1:0 penalties
Bulgarian Super Cup
04.02.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv	3:2
Bulgarian Parva Liga
19.12.24	Botev Plovdiv - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:4
08.12.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv	3:0
Bulgarian Cup
15.05.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv	2:3

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