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Current Win Probability
Ludogorets Razgrad 56.9%
Draw 24.2%
HJK 18.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.9%
23.3%
13.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.3%
24.9%
12.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ludogorets Razgrad's form might have worsened.
HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HJK's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ludogorets Razgrad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HJK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
74.4%
4.4%
21.1%
Ludogorets Razgrad - HJK Predictions
Users Predictions:
90 users predict this event. Ludogorets will win (votes: 67 - 74.4%). HJK will win (votes: 19 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 4.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets: 65.4% – 83.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Ludogorets has a chance of knockout phase (19%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (3%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 4, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a chance of 2nd (19%), has a good chance of 3rd (70%).
HJK has a very small chance of knockout phase (<1%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 1, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a very small chance of 2nd (<1%), has a small chance of 3rd (11%).
This event has quality34, importance38, match rating36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Ludogorets is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
HJK is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
HJK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Ludogorets is a favorite.
There will not play in Ludogorets: Yankov D.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in HJK: Moren V.
(Knee Injury)
Riski Ro.
(Knee Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Ludogorets won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.