Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 26 July 2023, Wednesday

Location: Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	SportKlub


	Ludogorets Razgrad		Olimpija Ljubljana

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	7.5	Watch
	1.44	4.4	7.5
	1.48	4.1	7
	1.45	4.33	7.5
	1.44	4.47	8.3
	1.4	3.9	6.5
	1.42	4.5	7.6	Watch
	1.43	4.3	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.73)	4.28 ↑ (3.68)	7.66 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludogorets Razgrad
65.6%

Draw
22.1%

Olimpija Ljubljana
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

25.7%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

27.2%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ludogorets Razgrad's performance.

Olimpija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olimpija Ljubljana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ludogorets Razgrad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpija Ljubljana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.2%	3.7%	5%

Ludogorets Razgrad - Olimpija Ljubljana Predictions

Users Predictions: Ludogorets Razgrad will win (73 of 80 users predict this - 91.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.06% – 97.44%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Padt S. (G) 16. Witry A. F. 32. Plastun I. 22. Russo F. 44. Heister M. 64. Yankov D. 6. Piotrowski J. 8. Goncalves C. 37. Tekpetey B. 9. Duah K. 11. Despodov K. (C)	69. Vidovsek M. (G) 2. Silva J. 14. Ratnik M. 16. Muhamedbegovic A. 3. Sualehe D. 19. Seslar S. 34. Doffo A. 10. Elsnik T. M. (C) 99. Rui Pedro 9. Nukic M. 21. Posavec I.
Substitutes
77. Caio Vidal 90. Delev S. 20. Nonato 30. Pedro Naressi 69. Pepelyashev P. (G) 7. Rick 12. Sluga S. (G) 17. Son 5. Terziev G. 10. Tissera M. 24. Verdon O. 82. Yordanov I.	17. Bristric A. 11. Fadida S. 30. Florucz R. A. 33. Gavric N. 77. Jakupovic A. 6. Karamatic M. 43. Krefl A. 31. Mauricio Z. (G) 20. Motika N. 37. Pedro Lucas 22. Pintol D. (G) 15. Ristic M.
Coaches
Petev I.	Henriques J.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Ludogorets is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Olimpija is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Olimpija could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Olimpija have a series of guest games.

In this match Ludogorets is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
22.07.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	5:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.07.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Ballkani	4:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
14.07.23	Krumovgrad - Ludogorets Razgrad	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.07.23	Ballkani - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.23	Universitatea Craiova - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLLW
- NK Olimpija Ljubljana
Slovenian PrvaLiga
22.07.23	Koper - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.07.23	Valmiera - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:2 ✺
11.07.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Valmiera	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.23	Rudar Pljevlja - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:4 ✺
05.07.23	Primorje - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWW

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