Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 17

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Luftëtari Gjirokastër		Pogradeci

	1	X	2
	8.1	3.8	1.36
	5.77	3.27	1.54
	9.52	4.04	1.34	Watch
	6	3.2	1.6
	7.71	3.9	1.44	Watch
	8.5	3.8	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.6 ↑ (4.84)	3.67 ↑ (3.54)	1.44 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luftëtari Gjirokastër
12%

Draw
24.8%

Pogradeci
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

25.6%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

24.6%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luftëtari Gjirokastër has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luftëtari Gjirokastër's form might have worsened.

Pogradeci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogradeci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luftëtari Gjirokastër than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luftëtari Gjirokastër, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogradeci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Pogradeci Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 1 - 0, Zani K. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Greca B. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Kazeem S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Tuni V. 🟥,
57', Greca B. 🟥,
76', 1 - 3, Kazeem S. ⚽,
79', 2 - 3, Merkuri M. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )).

Luftëtari is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pogradeci is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Pogradeci is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Luftëtari won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luftëtari Gjirokastër
Albanian First Division
13.12.25	Iliria - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Lushnja	1:2 ✺
03.12.25	Burreli - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Apolonia Fier	0:2 ✺
Albanian Cup
18.11.25	Laçi - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLLL
- KS Pogradeci
Albanian First Division
13.12.25	Pogradeci - Kukësi	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Pogradeci	1:2 ✺
03.12.25	Laçi - Pogradeci	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Pogradeci - Iliria	0:0 ✺
Albanian Cup
19.11.25	Pogradeci - Korabi Peshkopi	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
03.10.25	Pogradeci - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	2:2

Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Pogradeci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide