Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 21 September 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio di Cornaredo (Lugano) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Smajc D. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Lugano		Bodø Glimt

	1	X	2
	3.3	4	2
	3.4	3.75	2	Watch
	3.2	3.8	2.01
	3.38	4.05	2.04
	3.4	3.94	1.96
	3.35	4.1	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3)	3.94 ↑ (3.45)	2 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano
28.5%

Draw
24.1%

Bodø Glimt
47.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.5%

27.4%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

27.1%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Bodø Glimt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bodø Glimt's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bodø Glimt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.5%	18.2%	77.3%

Lugano - Bodø Glimt Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Bodø Glimt will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bodø Glimt: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Saipi A. (G) 6. Espinoza J. 17. Mai L. 4. Hajrizi K. 34. Arigoni A. 25. Bislimi U. 16. Grgic A. 14. Sabbatini J. (C) 11. Steffen R. 9. Celar Z. 10. Bottani M.	12. Haikin N. (G) 5. Wembangomo B. 18. Moe B. 2. Lode M. 15. Bjorkan F. 14. Saltnes U. 77. Berg P. (C) 8. Gronbaek A. 30. Sorensen A. 11. Espejord R. 7. Pellegrino A.
Substitutes
31. Aliseda I. 27. Babic B. 21. Cimignani Y. 90. Deana S. (G) 22. El Wafi A. 29. Hadj M. 7. Macek R. 26. Marques M. 99. Mina D. (G) 19. Vladi S.	10. Bassi D. 4. Bjortuft O. L. 44. Brondbo M. (G) 22. Dahl P. 19. Fet S. B. 25. Gulliksen T. 28. Kapskarmo O. 16. Konradsen M. 29. Moumbagna F. 45. Sjong I. (G) 20. Sjovold F.
Coaches
Croci-Torti M.	Knutsen K.

Preview

Recent matches Lugano is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bodø Glimt is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Bodø Glimt have a series of guest games.

Bodø Glimt will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Lugano: Hajdari A. (Red Card)

There will not play in Bodø Glimt: Zugelj N. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Lugano: Durrer A. (Injury) Mahou H. (Injury) Osigwe S. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lugano
Swiss Cup
16.09.23	Lancy - Lugano	0:3 ✺
Swiss Super League
03.09.23	Luzern - Lugano	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
31.08.23	Lugano - Saint-Gilloise	0:1 ✺
24.08.23	Saint-Gilloise - Lugano	2:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
13.08.23	Lugano - Yverdon	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLW
- Bodø Glimt
Norwegian Eliteserien
17.09.23	Rosenborg - Bodø Glimt	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	Hamarkameratene - Bodø Glimt	4:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.08.23	Bodø Glimt - Sepsi OSK	3:2 ET ✺
24.08.23	Sepsi OSK - Bodø Glimt	2:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
20.08.23	Haugesund - Bodø Glimt	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTWTW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lugano
Swiss Super League
01.11.26	Lugano - Basel	✺
- Bodø Glimt
UEFA Champions League
03.11.26	Bodø Glimt - Lille	✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
30.10.26	Bodø Glimt - Viking Stavanger	✺

Lugano - Bodø Glimt