Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 31 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Stade de Genève (Geneva)

Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Lugano		Saint-Gilloise

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2.2	Watch
	3.05	3.6	2.25
	3.1	3.6	2.23
	3.24	3.61	2.23
	2.88	3.2	2.15
	3.22	3.6	2.12
	3.1	3.6	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.6)	3.54 ↑ (3.3)	2.21 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lugano
30.5%

Draw
26.7%

Saint-Gilloise
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.3%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

28%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugano's form might have worsened.

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Gilloise's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint-Gilloise, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	5.3%	73.7%

Lugano - Saint Gilloise Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 8 - 21.1%). Union SG will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 59.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Deana S. (G) 34. Arigoni A. 4. Hajrizi K. 5. Hajdari A. 23. Valenzuela M. 14. Sabbatini J. (C) 29. Belhadj M. 7. Macek R. 25. Bislimi U. 10. Bottani M. 9. Celar Z.	49. Moris A. (C) 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. 28. Machida K. 17. Terho C. 24. Vanhoutte C. 23. Puertas C. 27. Sadiki N. 10. Lapoussin L. 8. Amani L. 9. Eckert Ayensa D.
Substitutes
31. Aliseda I. 27. Babic B. 21. Cimignani Y. 22. El Wafi A. 6. Espinoza J. 16. Grgic A. 17. Mai L. 26. Marques M. 99. Mina D. (G) 60. Ndiaye C. (G)	3. Boone V. 85. Dony A. 19. Francois G. 35. Huygevelde N. 14. Imbrechts J. (G) 7. Kabangu E. 48. Leysen F. 32. Louche N. (G) 29. Nilsson G. 4. Rasmussen M. 11. Teklab H.
Coaches
Croci-Torti M.	Blessin A.

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stade de Genève. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Recent matches Lugano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Union SG is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lugano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lugano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lugano
UEFA Europa League
24.08.23	Saint-Gilloise - Lugano	2:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
13.08.23	Lugano - Yverdon	6:1 ✺
05.08.23	Zürich - Lugano	3:0 ✺
29.07.23	Lugano - St. Gallen	1:0 ✺
26.07.23	Lausanne Ouchy - Lugano	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWW
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
UEFA Europa League
24.08.23	Saint-Gilloise - Lugano	2:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.08.23	KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise	4:0 ✺
12.08.23	Saint-Gilloise - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5:1 ✺
04.08.23	Standard Liège - Saint-Gilloise	0:1 ✺
28.07.23	Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
24.08.23	Saint-Gilloise - Lugano	2:0

Upcoming Matches