The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lugano 31.8%
Draw 34%
Centro Español 34.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.6%
31.2%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.5%
32.3%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Centro Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Centro Español than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Lugano - Centro Español Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 1 - 0, Acuna J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 1.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Lugano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Centro Español - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.19%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.