Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday

Location: AIL Arena (Lugano)

Referee: Kopiyevsky V. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, SRF Play, SRF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Lugano		NSÍ Runavík

	1	X	2
	1.11	9.00	15.00	Watch
	1.10	9.75	16.50
	1.09	8.50	21.00	Watch
	1.09	8.95	15.50
	1.13	7.58	22.27	Watch
	1.09	7.70	18.00
	1.10	10.00	29.00	Watch
	1.10	8.60	20.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.23)	8.76 ↑ (5.74)	19.66 ↑ (12.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano
84.6%

Draw
10.6%

NSÍ Runavík
4.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.3%

16.3%

7.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugano's performance.

NSÍ Runavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Lugano - NSÍ Runavík Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Runavík will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lugano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.75 - Lugano (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lugano (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. von Ballmoos D. (G) 46. Zanotti M. 4. Kelvin D. 3. Delcroix H. 21. Cimignani Y. 25. Bislimi U. 14. Kendouci A. 11. Steffen R. (C) 27. Dos Santos D. 24. Pihlstrom E. 91. Behrens K.	13. Amos T. (G) 5. Elisson A. F. 12. Drinic F. 4. Obbekjaer D. 3. Davidsen V. (C) 17. Benjaminsen J. 11. Lindh M. 29. Joensen E. W. 6. Nolsoe B. 33. Przybylski M. 2. Skytte S.
Substitutes
23. Ajdin G. 18. Bichsel J. 44. Carbone 22. Castro Espinosa B. D. 28. Gebhardt F. (G) 8. Grgic A. 17. Mai L. 30. Moncada D. 39. Ndiaye C. (G) 6. Papadopoulos A. 32. Puddu N. 33. Raffa C.	30. Danielsen D. (G) 28. Danielsen M. 9. Hestad T. 1. Joensen K. (G) 10. Olsen K. 22. Trondargjogv J.
Coaches
Croci-Torti M.	Eyjolfsson S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Pihlstrom E. ⚽, Cimignani Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Kendouci A. ↓, Moncada D. ↑,
61', Dos Santos D. ↓, Grgic A. ↑,
72', Cimignani Y. ↓, Papadopoulos A. ↑,
77', Przybylski M. ↓, Hestad T. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Behrens K. ⚽, Zanotti M. (A),
82', Pihlstrom E. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
85', Lindh M. ↓, Danielsen M. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Lugano is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Runavík's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lugano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lugano is the undeniable favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Lugano: 1.49%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lugano
Swiss Super League
02.08.26	Grasshoppers - Lugano	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.26	Dukagjini - Lugano	1:5 ✺
Swiss Super League
26.07.26	Lugano - Vaduz	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Lugano - Dukagjini	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Lugano - Vaduz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL
- NSÍ Runavík
Faroe Islands Premier League
03.08.26	HB Tórshavn - NSÍ Runavík	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Koper - NSÍ Runavík	1:4 penalties ✺
23.07.26	NSÍ Runavík - Koper	0:2 ✺
16.07.26	Hamrun Spartans - NSÍ Runavík	1:2 ✺
09.07.26	NSÍ Runavík - Hamrun Spartans	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LWLWT

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