Match Info

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Lugo		UD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.7
	2.42	3.1	2.72
	2.45	3.21	2.8	Watch
	2.4	3.08	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.42)	3.12 ↓ (3.12)	2.72 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo
37.5%

Draw
29.1%

UD Logroñés
33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

28.2%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Lugo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for UD Logroñés have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Lugo - UD Logroñés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 1st in the Promotion - LaLiga2).

Both teams arrive in flying form having triumphed in their latest fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Lugo has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lugo against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	UD Logrones	6	5	1	0	15:7	8	16
2	Lugo	6	5	1	0	9:3	6	16

Last Results with these Odds

Lugo - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.54%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.10.26	Real Avilés - Lugo	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Lugo - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Zamora - Lugo	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Lugo - Coria	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Ponferradina - Lugo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWWWT
- UD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.10.26	UD Logroñés - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Mérida AD - UD Logroñés	3:5 ✺
18.09.26	UD Logroñés - Pontevedra	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	UD Ourense - UD Logroñés	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Zamora - UD Logroñés	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
21.02.21	Lugo - UD Logroñés	1:1
24.10.20	UD Logroñés - Lugo	2:3

Lugo - UD Logroñés: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide