Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Anxo Carro (Lugo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Lugo		FC Andorra

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.88	2.25
	2.95	2.87	2.25
	3.2	3	2.3
	3.25	2.99	2.29
	3.21	2.96	2.28	Watch
	3.22	2.92	2.33
	3.2	3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.24)	2.95 ↑ (2.91)	2.29 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo
28.9%

Draw
31.1%

FC Andorra
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

31.3%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

30.3%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

FC Andorra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (+2%)

Lugo - FC Andorra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lavin M. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 23. Rodriguez J. 4. Ruiz E. 6. Nicholas N. 8. Gonzalez Y. 22. Vaquero 24. Martinez R. 27. Gonzalez J. 10. Cabo J. 17. Ochoa M.	13. Oier (G) 23. Alende D. 4. Trigueros P. 5. Morgado C. 27. Rodriguez I. 16. Pena A. 12. Ndiaye Dione A. 14. Molina S. 10. Alvaro 9. Nieto M. 11. Lauti
Substitutes
5. Bernardo 13. Cacharron P. (G) 21. Ceberio J. 19. Cuellar J. 7. Hernandez R. 18. Lesme F. 28. Noya D. 11. Perero G. 29. Rubal P. 20. Sanchez M. 14. Vidal D. 3. Zoilo A.	19. Almpanis C. 2. Arumi J. 18. Bombardo Poyato M. 24. Casadesus P. 21. Cerda J. 7. Fuentes J. 8. Moran E. 1. Ratti N. (G) 15. Redondo L. 22. Rosas B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Alvaro 🟨,
41', Pena A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Gonzalez Y. 🟨,
50', Martinez R. 🟨,
56', Alvaro ↓, Redondo L. ↑,
60', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Vidal D. ↑,
60', Martinez R. ↓, Lesme F. ↑,
60', Gonzalez J. ↓, Perero G. ↑,
65', Nicholas N. ↓, Zoilo A. ↑,
65', Lauti ↓, Cerda J. ↑,
67', Rodriguez I. ↓, Arumi J. ↑,
77', Ochoa M. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
80', Cabo J. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Lugo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Andorra is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lugo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Andorra will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lugo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.09.24	Real Sociedad B - Lugo	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Lugo - Barakaldo	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Sestao - Lugo	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Lugo - Amorebieta	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Leonesa - Lugo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWTL
- FC Andorra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.09.24	Sestao - FC Andorra	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	FC Andorra - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Tarazona - FC Andorra	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	FC Andorra - Barcelona B	2:1 ✺
25.08.24	Athletic Bilbao B - FC Andorra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
07.05.23	Lugo - FC Andorra	2:2
20.11.22	FC Andorra - Lugo	4:0

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