Match Info

Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadi Nacional (Andorra la Vella)


	FC Andorra		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.95	3.9
	1.96	2.95	4.93
				Watch
	1.93	3.14	4.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.86)	3.01 ↓ (3.38)	4.3 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Andorra
47.9%

Draw
30.7%

Ponferradina
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.4%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

26.7%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Andorra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

FC Andorra - Ponferradina Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Andorra will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ponferradina will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Andorra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ratti N. (C) 24. Casadesus P. 8. Moran E. 18. Bombardo Poyato M. 20. Vila M. 10. Alvaro 14. Molina S. 12. Villahermosa D. 21. Cerda J. 9. Nieto M. 11. Lauti	1. Prieto A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 4. Sibille K. 3. Novoa G. 19. Lopez A. 9. Cabanzon Y. 24. Doue M. 22. Esquerdo V. 15. Bustos A. 21. Cortes J. 10. Valle B. (C)
Substitutes
26. Achhiba B. 23. Alende D. 19. Almpanis C. 32. Blanco P. 3. Busquets O. 17. Clemente J. 7. Fuentes J. 5. Morgado C. 16. Pena A. 15. Redondo L. 27. Rodriguez I. 4. Trigueros P.	2. Andujar D. 25. Barredo P. (G) 20. Costa A. 6. Fernandez B. 12. Ferrer P. 7. Gomez E. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 5. Lancho J. 16. Lozano M. 11. Mula A. 18. Ramon A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Cortes J. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
29', Moran E. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Valle B. ⚽,
41', 🟨,
41', Lauti 🟨,
45+2', Novoa G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Cerda J. ↓, Almpanis C. ↑,
56', Valle B. ↓, Andujar D. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Nieto M. ⚽,
75', Cabanzon Y. ↓, Lozano M. ↑,
75', Bustos A. ↓, Ramon A. ↑,
77', Doue M. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
83', Villahermosa D. ↓, Pena A. ↑,
83', Vila M. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
83', Casadesus P. ↓, Clemente J. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Andorra is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ponferradina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ponferradina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Andorra is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Andorra won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Andorra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Andorra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.06.25	Ibiza - FC Andorra	0:1 ✺
01.06.25	FC Andorra - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	Leonesa - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	FC Andorra - Sestao	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Barcelona B - FC Andorra	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWTLW
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.06.25	Ponferradina - Antequera	2:1 ET ✺
31.05.25	Antequera - Ponferradina	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Sestao - Ponferradina	0:2 ✺
17.05.25	Ponferradina - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Real Sociedad B - Ponferradina	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.01.25	Ponferradina - FC Andorra	1:0
15.09.24	FC Andorra - Ponferradina	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
22.04.23	Ponferradina - FC Andorra	1:4
29.10.22	FC Andorra - Ponferradina	3:0

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