Match Info

EL SALVADOR: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 14

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday


	Luis Ángel Firpo		Chalatenango

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.4
	1.9	3.1	3.6
	1.99	3.29	3.9
	1.92	3.35	3.74
	2.02	3.25	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2)	3.24 ↑ (3.11)	3.58 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luis Ángel Firpo
46.5%

Draw
28.1%

Chalatenango
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

29.5%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

28.6%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luis Ángel Firpo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Chalatenango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luis Ángel Firpo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chalatenango than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Luis Ángel Firpo won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Luis Ángel Firpo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Luis Ángel Firpo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Luis Ángel Firpo won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 24-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Luis Ángel Firpo won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luis Ángel Firpo
El Salvador Primera Division
29.03.23	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Luis Ángel Firpo	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Atlético Marte - Luis Ángel Firpo	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Luis Ángel Firpo - Isidro Metapán	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Santa Tecla - Luis Ángel Firpo	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Luis Ángel Firpo - CD Dragón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTWTT
- CD Chalatenango
El Salvador Primera Division
29.03.23	Santa Tecla - Chalatenango	2:3 ✺
26.03.23	Chalatenango - Isidro Metapán	2:2 ✺
19.03.23	Chalatenango - Atlético Marte	0:2 ✺
11.03.23	Jocoro - Chalatenango	1:4 ✺
05.03.23	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Chalatenango	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
15.02.23	Chalatenango - Luis Ángel Firpo	0:1
08.10.22	Luis Ángel Firpo - Chalatenango	0:0
17.09.22	Chalatenango - Luis Ángel Firpo	1:1
03.04.22	Luis Ángel Firpo - Chalatenango	1:2
29.01.22	Chalatenango - Luis Ángel Firpo	2:1
30.10.21	Luis Ángel Firpo - Chalatenango	4:2
21.08.21	Chalatenango - Luis Ángel Firpo	0:2

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