The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca 30.7%
Draw 27.4%
Luis Ángel Firpo 41.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
25.2%
27.1%
47.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.8%
26.7%
48.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca's performance.
Luis Ángel Firpo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luis Ángel Firpo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luis Ángel Firpo than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luis Ángel Firpo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Luis Ángel Firpo Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Platense Municipal (votes: 1 - 50%). Luis Ángel Firpo (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Bogota C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 1 - 1, Ceren O. ⚽,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th and 1st in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense Municipal won 0.
Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.
Platense Municipal could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Luis Ángel Firpo is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Platense Municipal has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:38 (averaging 0.7:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Platense Municipal against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with 8:17 goals (averaging 0.8:1.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Luis Angel Firpo
16
9
5
2
29:12
17
32
6
Platense Municipal
18
7
6
5
25:20
5
27
Last Results with these Odds
Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 25.23%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.