Match Info

EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 21

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Luis Ángel Firpo		Santa Tecla

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.2	6.5
				Watch
	1.4	4.68	7.09
	1.41	4.69	7.09
	1.4	4.57	6.76
	1.4	4.3	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.45)	4.49 ↑ (4.1)	6.81 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luis Ángel Firpo
65.9%

Draw
20.5%

Santa Tecla
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

22.2%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

18.7%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luis Ángel Firpo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Santa Tecla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luis Ángel Firpo than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luis Ángel Firpo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Tecla than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Ocon A. 🟥,
29', 0 - 1, Tarifa G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
77', 1 - 1, Vasquez Velasquez L. S. (Pen),
90', 2 - 1, Rivas E. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Luis Ángel Firpo won 1.

Recent matches Luis Ángel Firpo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santa Tecla is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Santa Tecla have a series of home games.

In this match Luis Ángel Firpo is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Luis Ángel Firpo won 5 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 26-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Luis Ángel Firpo won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luis Ángel Firpo
El Salvador Primera Division
24.04.24	Municipal Limeño - Luis Ángel Firpo	2:2 ✺
20.04.24	Luis Ángel Firpo - Isidro Metapán	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Águila - Luis Ángel Firpo	4:2 ✺
10.04.24	Luis Ángel Firpo - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	5:1 ✺
06.04.24	Alianza San Miguel - Luis Ángel Firpo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTLWL
- Santa Tecla FC
El Salvador Primera Division
25.04.24	Santa Tecla - Águila	2:4 ✺
21.04.24	Santa Tecla - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Santa Tecla - Alianza San Miguel	1:1 ✺
10.04.24	Santa Tecla - Fuerte San Francisco	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	CD FAS - Santa Tecla	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
09.03.24	Santa Tecla - Luis Ángel Firpo	3:3
08.11.23	Santa Tecla - Luis Ángel Firpo	0:0
06.09.23	Luis Ángel Firpo - Santa Tecla	3:0
07.05.23	Luis Ángel Firpo - Santa Tecla	1:2
11.03.23	Santa Tecla - Luis Ángel Firpo	0:0
07.05.22	Luis Ángel Firpo - Santa Tecla	2:0
05.03.22	Santa Tecla - Luis Ángel Firpo	1:5

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