Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 26

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Luki-Energiya		Iskra Smolensk

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.93	7.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.74)	4.93 ↑ (3.87)	7.04 ↑ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Luki-Energiya
68.1%

Draw
18.8%

Iskra Smolensk
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

24.7%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

24.3%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luki-Energiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luki-Energiya's performance.

Iskra Smolensk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iskra Smolensk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luki-Energiya than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luki-Energiya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iskra Smolensk than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iskra Smolensk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Luki Energiya - Iskra Smolensk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Galanin I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 2 - 0, Pankov E. A. ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, Vasiliev M. ⚽,
86', Edzhibia N. 🟥,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 3rd and 11th).

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Iskra could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Luki-Energiya holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Luki-Energiya has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Luki-Energiya	24	14	6	4	36:21	15	48
11	Iskra Smolensk	25	6	6	13	24:47	-23	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luki-Energiya Velikiye Luki
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
27.09.26	Murom - Luki-Energiya	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
10.09.26	Luki-Energiya - Ural	2:1 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
06.09.26	Torpedo Vladimir - Luki-Energiya	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
27.08.26	Luki-Energiya - Cherepovets	4:1 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
23.08.26	Dynamo Vologda - Luki-Energiya	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 LWWWT
- Iskra Smolensk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
26.09.26	Iskra Smolensk - Zvezda St. Petersburg	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Torpedo Vladimir - Iskra Smolensk	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Dynamo Vologda - Iskra Smolensk	2:3 ✺
29.08.26	Iskra Smolensk - Baltika 2	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Yenisey 2 - Iskra Smolensk	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
13.06.26	Iskra Smolensk - Luki-Energiya	1:1

Upcoming Matches