The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Luki-Energiya 44.5%
Draw 30.8%
Spartak 2 Moscow 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.5%
30.4%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
29%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luki-Energiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luki-Energiya's performance.
Spartak 2 Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak 2 Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luki-Energiya than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luki-Energiya that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak 2 Moscow than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak 2 Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Luki Energiya - Spartak 2 Moscow Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
97. Tsutsulaev M. (G) 24. Butakov E. 78. Edzhibia N. 13. Egorov A. 19. Ivanov I. 7. Korenblyum A. 9. Lukin A. 4. Lunev V. 27. Mayboroda M. 37. Ovsyankin I. 10. Strebtsov D.
32. Pichienko R. (G) 92. Kobylin N. 75. Kondoyanidi A. 41. Kuroshev D. 83. Kuznetsov M. 87. Makushenko D. 63. Melnikov Y. 84. Nosachev A. 65. Shopin D. 89. Solopov V. 79. Zhitnikov D.
Substitutes
17. Agarev S. 2. Aleksandrov D. 22. Glebov S. 6. Kurbanov I. 14. Medvedev I. 73. Nikitin G. 8. Polyakov N. 47. Puzryev K. 69. Vaulin D. (G) 88. Zagorskiy N.
46. Bogdanov S. 38. Chudakov A. 43. Khanin G. 95. Melnik D. (G) 85. Serov M. 52. Shayakhmetov M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Kuroshev D. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Egorov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Makushenko D. ↓, Bogdanov S. ↑,
61', Kondoyanidi A. ↓, Shayakhmetov M. ↑,
66', Edzhibia N. 🟨,
67', Nosachev A. ↓, Serov M. ↑,
69', Egorov A. ↓, Polyakov N. ↑,
69', Lukin A. ↓, Puzryev K. ↑,
73', Shopin D. ↓, Chudakov A. ↑,
82', Mayboroda M. ↓, Nikitin G. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3).
Luki-Energiya has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Spartak 2 M has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Luki-Energiya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Luki-Energiya won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Luki-Energiya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
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Tsutsulaev M. (G) 
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