Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 19

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini (Verona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	Virtus Verona		Lumezzane

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.42	3.15	2.78
	2.5	3.15	2.79
	2.3	3.2	2.95	Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.88
	2.33	3.02	2.94	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.48)	3.09 ↓ (3.4)	2.91 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Verona
38.8%

Draw
29.7%

Lumezzane
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

27.1%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

27.4%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Virtus Verona - Lumezzane Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sibi S. (G) 75. Bassi M. 23. Toffanin F. 95. Munaretti L. 7. Amadio M. 20. Fiorin G. 30. Gatti C. 10. Zarpellon L. 29. Saiani F. 99. Fabbro M. 44. Pagliuca M.	50. Drago G. (G) 23. Moscati M. 2. Deratti J. 29. Gallea F. 3. Pagliari M. 8. Rocca M. 4. Paghera F. 7. Ferro M. 19. Rolando M. 21. Iori M. 20. Caccavo L.
Substitutes
80. Bulevardi D. 3. Cielo T. 47. Cuel E. 6. Daffara M. 14. Di Virgilio M. 5. Fanini F. 74. Lerco S. 4. Lodovici R. 39. Mancini T. 21. Muhameti E. 90. Odogwu C. 28. Patane N. 1. Peroni R. (G) 12. Scardigno N. (G) 36. Sebastiani G.	12. Battagliola L. (G) 30. Cantamessa S. 5. D'Agostino S. 9. Donnarumma A. 1. Filigheddu S. (G) 11. Ghillani A. 41. Scanzi M. 39. Serpa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Paghera F. 🟨,
22', Zarpellon L. 🟨,
27', Gatti C. 🟨,
45', Gallea F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fiorin G. ↓, Fanini F. ↑,
47', Gallea F. 🟨,
57', Ferro M. ↓, Ghillani A. ↑,
71', Fabbro M. ↓, Mancini T. ↑,
71', Amadio M. ↓, Patane N. ↑,
75', Zarpellon L. ↓, Bulevardi D. ↑,
82', Iori M. ↓, D'Agostino S. ↑,
82', Caccavo L. ↓, Donnarumma A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 14).

Virtus Verona has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lumezzane is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Virtus Verona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Verona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Lumezzane - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.81%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group A
13.12.25	Alcione - Virtus Verona	0:1 ✺
08.12.25	Virtus Verona - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Ospitaletto - Virtus Verona	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Virtus Verona - Triestina	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	AlbinoLeffe - Virtus Verona	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTTTL
- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
13.12.25	Lumezzane - Lecco	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Brescia - Lumezzane	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Lumezzane - Novara	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	AlbinoLeffe - Lumezzane	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Lumezzane - Pro Vercelli	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
21.12.24	Lumezzane - Virtus Verona	0:3
25.08.24	Virtus Verona - Lumezzane	0:1
23.03.24	Lumezzane - Virtus Verona	3:1
18.11.23	Virtus Verona - Lumezzane	0:2

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